Government Actions on Economy

Aug 29, 2011

Q. If the Australian economy weakens and unemployment goes up would you approve or disapprove of the Government taking the following actions?

Total approve Total disapprove Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
Reduce interest rates 79% 11% 32% 47% 8% 3% 11%$
Cut taxes for both individuals and businesses 61% 25% 16% 45% 21% 4% 14%
Cut taxes on low and middle income earners to help with cost of living while offsetting the revenue loss with a carbon tax on the 500 big polluters 61% 27% 26% 35% 15% 12% 12%
Introduce a mining tax on the big miners and use the money for govt. investment in infrastructure and social spending to stimulate the economy 58% 26% 24% 34% 16% 10% 16%
Cut taxes on lower and middle income earners to help with cost of living with no offsetting carbon tax on the 500 big polluters 51% 33% 15% 36% 24% 9% 16%
Cut taxes and cut Government investment in infrastructure and social spending 39% 43% 12% 27% 30% 13% 18%

Actions most approved were reduce interest rates (79% approve), cut taxes for both individuals and businesses (61%) and cut taxes on low and middle income earners to help with cost of living while offsetting the revenue loss with a carbon tax on the 500 big polluters (61%).

Cutting taxes while offsetting the revenue loss with a carbon tax was more popular than not offsetting the tax cuts with a carbon tax (61% to 51%).

The only action not approved by a majority was cutting taxes and investment in infrastructure and social spending (39% approve/43% disapprove). This was approved by 48% of Liberal/National voters but only 33% of Labor voters and 27% of Greens voters.

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Anti-Government Rallies

Aug 29, 2011

Q. Do the recent rallies in Canberra – the no carbon tax rally and the trucking convoy – represent your views about the Government?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Yes 40% 14% 66% 10%
No 38% 73% 13% 75%
Don’t know 22% 13% 22% 15%

40% say the recent rallies in Canberra represent their views about the Government, 38% say they do not represent their views.

Those most likely to say the rallies represent their views were Liberal/National voters (66%), aged 65+ (60%) and full-time workers (46%).

Those most likely to say the rallies do not represent their views were Labor voters (73%), Greens voters (75%) and those aged under 35 (45%).

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Tony Abbott’s Support for Rallies

Aug 29, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Tony Abbott giving his support to these rallies?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 38% 14% 68% 8%
Total disapprove 36% 65% 9% 75%
Strongly approve 18% 3% 37% 1%
Approve 20% 11% 31% 7%
Disapprove 15% 25% 8% 14%
Strongly disapprove 21% 40% 1% 61%
No opinion 26% 21% 22% 18%

38% approve and 36% disapprove of Tony Abbott giving his support to the Canberra rallies. Views are closely associated with voting intention.

Groups most likely to approve were aged 65+ (54%) and full-time workers (45%).

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Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 22, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,846

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 47% 46% 46%
National 3% 3% 4% 4%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 48% 50% 50% 50%
Labor 38.0 32% 30% 31% 32%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 9% 10% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 57% 57% 56%
Labor 50.1% 45% 43% 43% 44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Awareness of Changes to Health System

Aug 22, 2011

Q. How much have you read and heard about the recent Federal Government changes concerning funding and delivery of health services?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
A lot 8% 10% 8% 16%
Something 21% 22% 24% 19%
A little 36% 38% 37% 32%
Nothing 28% 25% 28% 30%
Don’t know 7% 5% 4% 3%

Only 29% say they have heard a lot or something about the recent Federal Government changes concerning funding and delivery of health services, 36% say they have heard a little and 28% have heard nothing.

Those most likely to have heard a lot/something were aged 55+ (39%).

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Opinion of Changes to Health System

Aug 22, 2011

Q. And from what you’ve read or heard, do you support or oppose these changes in the health care system proposed by the Federal Government?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Heard a lot / something Heard a little
Total support 36% 59% 21% 46% 50% 24%
Total oppose 13% 1% 22% 6% 17% 9%
Strongly support 8% 20% * 8% 13% 3%
Support 28% 39% 21% 38% 37% 21%
Neither support nor oppose 36% 28% 41% 27% 27% 44%
Oppose 8% 1% 13% 5% 9% 7%
Strongly oppose 5% 9% 1% 8% 2%
Don’t know 16% 11% 16% 20% 7% 23%

* based on those who have heard a lot/something/a little.

Of those who had heard a lot/something/a little, 36% support the changes and 13% oppose. Labor voters support the changes 50% to 1% oppose and Greens voters support them 46%/6%. 41% of Liberal/National voters neither support nor oppose, while 21% support and 22% oppose.

Those who have heard a lot/something are more likely to support the changes – 50% compared to 24% of those who have only heard a little.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
Total approve 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35%
Total disapprove 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55%
Strongly approve 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6%
Approve 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29%
Disapprove 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31%
Don’t know 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11%

35% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 55% (down 7%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -33 to -20 over the last 4 weeks.

77% of Labor voters approve (up 5%) and 13% disapprove (down 7%).

By gender – men 35% approve/57% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 43% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38% 39% 37%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 37% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48% 49% 50%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 31% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32% 33% 29%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 21% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 16% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23% 25% 25%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15% 11% 13%

37% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 50% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -10 to -13 over the last 4 weeks. This is Tony Abbott’s worst approval rating this year.

72% of Coalition voters approve and 20% disapprove.

By gender – men 40% approve/49% disapprove, women 33% approve/51% disapprove.

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