Good or Bad for Australia

Jul 18, 2011

Q. Overall, do you think the Government’s carbon pricing scheme will be good or bad for Australia’s future?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good 34% 67% 11% 76%
Total bad 46% 13% 73% 16%
Very good 11% 26% 1% 31%
Good 23% 41% 10% 45%
Bad 20% 9% 29% 9%
Very bad 26% 4% 44% 7%
It will make no difference 8% 8% 10%
Don’t know 12% 13% 7% 7%

34% think the carbon pricing scheme will be good for Australia and 46% think it will be bad.

By age, those aged under 35 split 42% good/36% bad, and those aged 55+ split 31% good/52% bad.

For those who consider themselves very well or somewhat informed about the carbon pricing scheme, 42% think it will be good for Australia and 48% bad.

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Most Cost Effective Policy

Jul 18, 2011

Q.Which approach do you think would be the most cost effective – the Government’s carbon pricing scheme or the Coalition’s proposal to pay companies to reduce emissions?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Government carbon pricing scheme 33% 69% 10% 60%
Coalition’s proposal to pay companies 27% 3% 51% 6%
Don’t know 40% 27% 39% 34%

33% think that the Government’s carbon pricing scheme would be the most cost effective and 27% think the Coalition’s proposal would be more cost effective.

Strongest support for the Government’s scheme was shown by men (38%) and those aged under 35 (38%).

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 11, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,899

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 44% 45% 46% 47%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 48% 49% 50%
Labor 38.0 34% 32% 32% 30%
Greens 11.8 12% 11% 11% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 8% 9% 9% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 55% 56% 57%
Labor 50.1% 46% 45% 44% 43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 43% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38% 39%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 37% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48% 49%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 31% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32% 33%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 21% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 24%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 16% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23% 25%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15% 11%

39% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 49% (up 1%) disapprove – no change in net rating (-10%) over the last 4 weeks.

73% of Coalition voters approve and 19% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/48% disapprove, women 35% approve/51% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 85% 6% 68% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 5% 75% 9% 30%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 10% 19% 24% 23%

37% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – the first time that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 7% on last month’s figures (from +5% to -2%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Voluntary Voting

Jul 11, 2011

Q. If voting at elections was voluntary (i.e. not compulsory) – how likely would you be to vote in the next Federal election?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total definitely/probably vote 82% 85% 89% 78%
Total definitely/probably not vote 14% 12% 9% 19%
Would definitely vote 59% 62% 65% 61%
Would probably vote 23% 23% 24% 17%
Probably wouldn’t vote 10% 8% 7% 18%
Definitely wouldn’t vote 4% 4% 2% 1%
Don’t know 4% 3% 1% 3%

82% said they would definitely or probably vote if voting was voluntary. 14% said they definitely or probably would not vote.

Coalition and Labor voters were more likely to vote and Greens voters somewhat less likely.

By age, 73% of those aged under 35 said they would vote compared to 82% of those aged 35-54 and 91% of those aged 55+.

The estimated vote excluding those who would probably or definitely not vote produces a first preference vote of 52% Liberal/National, 30% Labor, 11% Greens and 7% other. The two-party preferred estimate is 58% Liberal/National and 42% Labor (compared to the current estimate of 57%/43%) – suggesting that voluntary voting would only very slightly advantage the Coalition.

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Party Interests – Labor Party

Jul 4, 2011

Q. Do you think the Labor Party is more concerned about the interests of big business or voters – or do they balance the interests of both?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
More concerned about big business 33% 18% 41% 30%
More concerned about voters 22% 18% 29% 20%
Balance interests of both 23% 50% 10% 27%
Don’t know 22% 14% 20% 23%

33% think the Labor Party are more concerned about the interests of big business and 22% think they are more concerned about voters’ interests. 23% think they balance the interests of both.

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Party Interests – Liberal Party

Jul 4, 2011

Q. Do you think the Liberal Party is more concerned about the interests of big business or voters – or do they balance the interests of both?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
More concerned about big business 41% 68% 18% 67%
More concerned about voters 13% 8% 20% 3%
Balance interests of both 30% 8% 56% 11%
Don’t know 15% 16% 7% 19%

41% think the Liberal Party are more concerned about the interests of big business and 13% think they are more concerned about voters’ interests. 30% think they balance the interests of both.

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