Federal voting intention

Jun 5, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total 2 weeks ago 22/5/18 4 weeks ago 8/5/18 Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34% 38% 35%
National 3% 2% 3%
Total Liberal/National 36% 40% 38% 42.0%
Labor 37% 36% 37% 34.7%
Greens 10% 10% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2% 1% 2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8% 8% 6%
Other/Independent 7% 6% 6% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 46% 49% 47% 50.4%
Labor 54% 51% 53% 49.6%

Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Federal Voting Intention

May 8, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago 24/4/18 4 weeks ago 10/4/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 35% 35% 35%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 38%   37% 38%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10% 11% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2% 2% 2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6% 8% 7%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 7% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 47%   47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 53%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Federal voting intention

Jul 18, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 11/7/17 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 4 weeks ago 20/6/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   33% 35% 35%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 38% 38%   42.0%
Labor 38%   36% 36% 35%   34.7%
Greens 10%   11% 11% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   7% 7% 9%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 5% 5%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   46% 47% 48%   50.4%
Labor 54%   54% 53% 52%   49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.