Better Prime Minister

Aug 2, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 48% 92% 7% 65%   47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 30% 1% 77% 6%   30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 22% 7% 16% 28%   23%

48% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 30% prefer Tony Abbott – a narrowing of the gap between the two (from 25% to 18%) since polled last week. This is almost identical to the last measure comparing Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott in June.

Julia Gillard is preferred 92% to 1% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 77% to 7% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 65% to 6%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 46%/34% and women 50%/26%. Comments »

Reasons for Voting Preference

Aug 2, 2010

Q. What is the main reason you intend to vote for the Labor Party/Liberal or National Party/Greens?

  Labor   Liberal/ National   Greens
I always vote for the Labor Party 28% I always vote for the Liberal or National Party 19% I always vote for the Greens 8%
They have better policies 15% They have better policies 19% They have better policies 30%
They have been a good government 10% Labor have been a poor government 39% Labor have been a poor government 6%
I just don’t like the Liberals 11% I just don’t like Labor 9% I just don’t like the Liberals or Labor 28%
Julia Gillard is a better leader than Tony Abbott 32% Tony Abbott is a better leader than Julia Gillard 7% I like Bob Brown 3%
Other reason 4% Other reason 5% I don’t like Tony Abbott or Julia Gillard 14%
        Other reason 10%

Main reasons for voting Labor were a preference for Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott (32%) and party loyalty (28% said they always vote Labor). The leadership issue is more important for women – 40% of women said they were voting Labor because Julia Gillard is a better leader compared to 23% of men.

39% of Liberal/National voters say their main reason is that Labor have been a poor Government – and only 7% say leadership is their main reason.

Main reasons for voting for the Greens were “better policies” (30%) and a dislike of the major parties (28%). Only 6% say it is because Labor have been a poor Government. Comments »

Best to handle Immigration Issues

Aug 2, 2010

Q. Which leader and party do you trust most to handle immigration issues?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal/ National Vote Greens
Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party 35% 6% 83% 9%
Julia Gillard and the Labor Party 23% 50% 3% 27%
No difference 31% 35% 11% 56%
Don’t know 10% 9% 3% 8%

 Overall, Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party are trusted most to handle immigration issues (35% to 23%). 31% think there is no difference between the major parties on immigration.

 83% of Liberal/National voters trust Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party most and 50% of Labor voters trust Julia Gillard and the Labor Party. 56% of Greens voters think there is no difference. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 26, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52% 49%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30% 33%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11% 12%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41% 37%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17% 19%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13% 14%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18% 17%

49% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 33% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has decreased by 3% and disapproval increased by 3%. 94% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 18% approve and 70% disapprove.

By gender – men 51% approve/36% disapprove and women 49% approve/30% disapprove. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 26, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 94% 9% 74% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 2% 69% 6% 30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 5% 22% 20% 23%

51% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight widening of the gap between the two (from 23% to 25%) since polled last week.

Julia Gillard is preferred 94% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 69% to 9% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 74% to 6%.

Men prefer Julia Gillard 50%/29% and women 51%/23%. Comments »

Interest in Watching Leaders Debate

Jul 26, 2010

Q. On Sunday night the leaders debate between Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott will be televised. Do you plan to watch the leaders’ debate?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other or indep. Don’t know/ refused vote
Definitely watch 14% 19% 16% 12% 3% 4%
Probably watch 30% 35% 33% 31% 24% 13%
Probably won’t watch 21% 20% 23% 29% 25% 13%
Definitely won’t watch 26% 16% 25% 25% 44% 46%
Don’t know 9% 11% 4% 3% 2% 25%

44% said they would definitely or probably watch the leaders’ debate. 54% of Labor voters were likely to watch, compared to 49% of Liberal/National voters and 43% of Greens voters. Of those who could not say who they would vote for, only 17% said they would definitely or probably watch the debate.

Older respondents were more likely to watch – 52% of those aged 55+ compared to 33% of those aged under 35. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18%

52% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 30% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 4% and disapproval by 3% – “don’t know” has dropped from 26% to 18%. 89% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 25% approve and 64% disapprove.

There were substantial differences by gender – men 50% approve/36% disapprove and women  54% approve/25% disapprove.

Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 19, 2010

 Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

28 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

5 Jul 10

Julia Gillard 50% 91% 8% 71%   47% 49% 53%
Tony Abbott 27% 2% 70% 4%   30% 29% 26%
Don’t know 23% 7% 21% 25%   23% 22% 21%

 50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.

 Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »

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