Federal politics – voting intention

May 13, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,883 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

15/4/14

2 weeks ago

29/4/14

 

Last week

06/5/14

 

This week

12/5/14

Liberal

 

40%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

6%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

15/4/14

2 weeks ago

29/4/14

 

Last week

06/5/14

 

This week

12/5/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

50%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 30, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,837 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 1/4/14

2 weeks ago

15/4/14

Last week

22/4/14

This week

29/4/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

39%

38%

National

2%

3%

2%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

42%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

37%

37%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

6%

6%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 1/4/14

2 weeks ago

15/4/14

Last week

22/4/14

This week

29/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

50%

49%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

50%

51%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Most important election issues

Apr 22, 2014

Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

 

Total

22 Apr 14

 

Vote ALP

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Grn

Vote other

 

23 Jul 13

30 Jul 12

6 June 11

25 Jan 10

Management of the economy

54%

43%

75%

22%

44%

45%

64%

61%

63%

Ensuring a quality education for all children

27%

35%

18%

38%

20%

25%

26%

26%

23%

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

50%

54%

43%

62%

52%

42%

47%

49%

48%

Protecting the environment

13%

12%

7%

42%

14%

12%

11%

15%

16%

A fair industrial relations system

12%

17%

11%

8%

12%

10%

12%

8%

na

Political leadership

15%

11%

24%

6%

13%

21%

25%

17%

23%

Addressing climate change

10%

13%

4%

28%

9%

11%

9%

15%

16%

Controlling interest rates

9%

9%

11%

2%

7%

13%

9%

13%

15%

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

37%

39%

37%

18%

37%

39%

41%

32%

33%

Ensuring a quality water supply

4%

5%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

12%

Housing affordability

17%

18%

16%

13%

19%

17%

13%

16%

14%

Ensuring a fair taxation system

20%

19%

20%

9%

23%

20%

18%

17%

14%

Security and the war on terrorism

5%

3%

8%

3%

5%

8%

5%

8%

9%

Treatment of asylum seekers

8%

5%

5%

32%

9%

14%

10%

5%

na

Managing population growth

9%

6%

10%

8%

16%

9%

8%

12%

na

54% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 50% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 37% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 27% ensuring a quality education for all children.

Main changes since this question was asked last July – management of the economy up 9%, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system up 8%, political leadership down 6% and treatment of asylum seekers down 6%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 1, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,867 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

43%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

36%

37%

39%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

51%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

49%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 18, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,912 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/2/14

2 weeks ago

4/3/14

Last week

11/3/14

This week

18/3/14

Liberal

 

38%

41%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

44%

42%

43%

Labor

33.4%

40%

38%

38%

36%

Greens

8.6%

8%

8%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/2/14

2 weeks ago

4/3/14

Last week

11/3/14

This week

18/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

Labor

46.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,860 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/2/14

2 weeks ago

25/2/14

Last week

4/3/14

This week

11/3/14

Liberal

 

40%

39%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

8%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/2/14

2 weeks ago

25/2/14

Last week

4/3/14

This week

11/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

49%

51%

50%

Labor

46.5%

50%

51%

49%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 25, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,847 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 28/1/14

2 weeks ago

11/2/14

Last week

18/2/14

This week

25/2/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

38%

39%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

43%

41%

42%

Labor

33.4%

36%

39%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

7%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 28/1/14

2 weeks ago

11/2/14

Last week

18/2/14

This week

25/2/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

50%

49%

49%

Labor

46.5%

50%

50%

51%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,871 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago

28/1/14

Last week

4/2/14

This week

11/2/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

43%

43%

Labor

33.4%

36%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago

28/1/14

Last week

4/2/14

This week

11/2/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

50%

50%

Labor

46.5%

50%

50%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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