Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 4, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,885 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago

21/1/14

Last week

28/1/14

This week

4/2/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

43%

Labor

33.4%

37%

36%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

9%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

2 weeks ago

21/1/14

Last week

28/1/14

This week

4/2/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

50%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

50%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 28, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,933 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week

21/1/14

This week

28/1/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

Labor

33.4%

37%

36%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week

21/1/14

This week

28/1/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 21, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,962 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

5 weeks ago

17/12/13

This week

21/1/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

43%

Labor

33.4%

37%

37%

Greens

8.6%

7%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

5 weeks ago

17/12/13

This week

21/1/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 17, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,960 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

 

4 weeks ago

19/11/13

2 weeks ago

3/12/13

Last week

10/12/13

This week

17/12/13

Liberal

 

41%

41%

41%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

44%

44%

44%

Labor

33.4%

35%

36%

37%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

8%

7%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

5%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

19/11/13

2 weeks ago

3/12/13

Last week

10/12/13

This week

17/12/13

Liberal National

53.5%

53%

52%

51%

51%

Labor

46.5%

47%

48%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 10, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,865 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

 

4 weeks ago

12/11/13

2 weeks ago

26/11/13

Last week

3/12/13

This week

10/12/13

Liberal

 

42%

41%

41%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

45%

44%

44%

Labor

33.4%

35%

36%

36%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

8%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

4%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

12/11/13

2 weeks ago

26/11/13

Last week

3/12/13

This week

10/12/13

Liberal National

53.5%

53%

53%

52%

51%

Labor

46.5%

47%

47%

48%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 3, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,798 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

 

4 weeks ago

5/11/13

2 weeks ago

19/11/13

Last week

26/11/13

This week

3/12/13

Liberal

 

42%

41%

41%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

45%

44%

45%

44%

Labor

33.4%

35%

35%

36%

36%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

5/11/13

2 weeks ago

19/11/13

Last week

26/11/13

This week

3/12/13

Liberal National

53.5%

53%

53%

53%

52%

Labor

46.5%

47%

47%

47%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 26, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,864 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

(current  figures)

 

4 weeks ago

29/10/13

2 weeks ago

12/11/13

Last week

19/11/13

This week

26/11/13

Liberal

 

42%

42%

41%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

45%

44%

44%

45%

Labor

33.4%

35%

35%

35%

36%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

12.4%

11%

12%

11%

11%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

29/10/13

2 weeks ago

12/11/13

Last week

19/11/13

This week

26/11/13

Liberal National

53.4%

53%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

46.6%

47%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

(current  figures)

 

4 weeks ago

1/10/13

2 weeks ago

15/10/13

Last week

22/10/13

This week

29/10/13

Liberal

 

40%

41%

41%

42%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

43%

44%

45%

Labor

33.4%

36%

35%

34%

35%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

12.4%

12%

12%

11%

11%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

1/10/13

2 weeks ago

15/10/13

Last week

22/10/13

This week

29/10/13

Liberal National

53.4%

52%

52%

53%

53%

Labor

46.6%

48%

48%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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