Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 6, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1900 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 36%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 39% 46%
Labor 43% 54%
Greens 10%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 7%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

Trust to handle issue of asylum seekers

Apr 6, 2010

Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the issue of asylum seekers?

  %
The Labor Party 23%
The Liberal Party 34%
No difference 28%
Don’t know 15%

 34% of people trust the Liberal Party most to handle the issue of asylum seekers and 23% trust the Labor Party more.   28% think there is no difference and 15% don’t know. 

Results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to trust Labor (46%) and Coalition voters were more likely to trust Liberal most (77%).  Green voters were more likely to trust Labor when it comes to handling the issue of asylum seekers (38%). 

34% of Labor voters think there is no difference when it comes to which party they trust to handle the issue.

People aged 55 years and over were more likely to trust the Liberal party to handle the issue (49%), while those aged 18 – 24 were more likely to trust Labor (38%). 

 In November 2009, we asked people which party they think is best to handle the issue of asylum seekers.  We found that 23% thought Labor, 27% thought Liberal and 37% thought there would be no difference in terms of which party would be best to handle the issue.  Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 22, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1829 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 35%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 38% 44%
Labor 45% 56%
Greens 9%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 7%    

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

Firmness of voting intention

Mar 22, 2010

Q.  Would you describe your vote very firm, fairly firm but might consider another party as campaign develops or not at all firm and might very well consider another party as the campaign develops.

  Total % Federal Vote
Labor Coalition Greens
Very firm 44% 43% 58% 26%
Fairly firm 40% 47% 34% 50%
Not at all firm 14% 9% 7% 18%
Don’t know 2% 1% 1% 6%

Coalition voters were more likely than Labor voters to indicate their voting choice as very firm (58% v 43%).  47% of Labor voters and 50% of Greens voters indicated that their voting choice is fairly firm. 

People aged 65 years and over were more likely to indicate their voting choice as very firm (60%) while those aged 25 – 34 were more likely to indicate their voting choice as fairly firm (47%).  Comments »

Party Identification

Mar 22, 2010

Q. Now regardless of your present view of things, which federal party do you normally consider yourself closest to?

  %
Labor 40%
Liberal 32%
National 3%
Greens 6%
Democrats 2%
Family First 2%
Independent or other party 3%
Don’t know 11%

 40% of those surveyed indicated the party they normally consider themselves closest to is Labor, 35% indicated Liberal/National, 6% Greens and 11% don’t know.  Comments »

Strength of party identification

Mar 22, 2010

Q.  Do you consider yourself a very strong supporter, a fairly strong or not a very strong supporter of that party?

  Total % Party ID  
Labor Coalition Greens
Very strong 25% 25% 29% 18%
Fairly strong 52% 55% 51% 60%
Not very strong 22% 18% 19% 22%
Don’t know 1% 1% 1% *

People that normally consider themselves Coalition supporters were slightly more likely than Labor supporters to indicate their party support as very strong (29% v 25%).   55% of Labor supporters and 60% of Greens supporters indicated their party support as fairly strong.   Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 15, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1,908 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 35%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 38% 44% -2%
Labor 45% 56% +2%
Greens 9%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 6%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 1, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1816 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 37%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 40% 47% +1%
Labor 42% 53% -1%
Greens 9%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 7%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »