Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 13, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

15/7/13

2 weeks ago

29/7/13

Last week

5/8/13

This week

13/8/13

Liberal

 

42%

41%

40%

40%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

44%

43%

43%

Labor

38.0%

39%

39%

38%

39%

Greens

11.8%

7%

9%

9%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

10%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

15/7/13

2 weeks ago

29/7/13

Last week

5/8/13

This week

13/8/13

Liberal National

49.9%

52%

51%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

48%

49%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 5, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,903 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

8/7/13

2 weeks ago

23/7/13

Last week

29/7/13

This week

5/8/13

Liberal

 

42%

42%

41%

40%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

45%

44%

43%

Labor

38.0%

38%

39%

39%

38%

Greens

11.8%

8%

7%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

9%

8%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

8/7/13

2 weeks ago

23/7/13

Last week

29/7/13

This week

5/8/13

Liberal National

49.9%

52%

51%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

48%

49%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,912 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

1/7/13

2 weeks ago

15/7/13

Last week

23/7/13

This week

29/7/13

Liberal

 

43%

42%

42%

41%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

46%

45%

44%

Labor

38.0%

36%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

11.8%

9%

7%

7%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

1/7/13

2 weeks ago

15/7/13

Last week

23/7/13

This week

29/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

53%

52%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

47%

48%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 23, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,980 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

24/6/13

2 weeks ago

8/7/13

Last week

15/7/13

This week

23/7/13

Liberal

 

44%

42%

42%

42%

National

3%

4%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

46%

46%

45%

Labor

38.0%

34%

38%

39%

39%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

7%

7%

Other/Independent

6.6%

11%

7%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

24/6/13

2 weeks ago

8/7/13

Last week

15/7/13

This week

23/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

55%

52%

52%

51%

Labor

50.1%

45%

48%

48%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 15, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,879 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

17/6/13

2 weeks ago

1/7/13

Last week

8/7/13

This week

15/7/13

Liberal

 

44%

43%

42%

42%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

46%

46%

46%

Labor

38.0%

35%

36%

38%

39%

Greens

11.8%

8%

9%

8%

7%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

17/6/13

2 weeks ago

1/7/13

Last week

8/7/13

This week

15/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

54%

53%

52%

52%

Labor

50.1%

46%

47%

48%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 8, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,778 respondent

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

11/6/13

2 weeks ago

24/6/13

Last week

1/7/13

This week

8/7/13

Liberal

 

44%

44%

43%

42%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

47%

46%

46%

Labor

38.0%

36%

34%

36%

38%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

9%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

11%

9%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

11/6/13

2 weeks ago

24/6/13

Last week

1/7/13

This week

8/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

54%

55%

53%

52%

Labor

50.1%

46%

45%

47%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 1, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,865 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago
3/6/13

2 weeks ago
17/6/13

Last week
24/6/13

This week
1/7/13

 

This week (single week result)
sample = 906

Liberal

 

45%

44%

44%

43%

42%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

47%

46%

46%

Labor

38.0%

35%

35%

34%

36%

38%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

8%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

11%

9%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election
21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago
3/6/13

2 weeks ago
17/6/13

Last week
24/6/13

This week
1/7/13

 

This week (single week result)
sample = 906

Liberal National

49.9%

55%

54%

55%

53%

52%

Labor

50.1%

45%

46%

45%

47%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 18, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,874 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

18/2/13

2 weeks ago

4/2/13

Last week

11/3/13

This week

18/3/13

Liberal

44%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

49%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

35%

32%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

56%

55%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

44%

45%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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