The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Apr, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size =  1,910 respondents

     

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2/4/12

    Last week

    16/4/12

    This week

    23/4/12

    This week

    30/4/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    45%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    49%

    50%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    31%

    31%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    43%

     

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These figures have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

    Comments »

  • Apr, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,892 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    26/3/12

    2 weeks ago

    10/4/12

    Last week

    16/4/12

    This week

    22/4/12

    Liberal

    45%

    47%

    45%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    50%

    48%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    31%

    31%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    57%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    43%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Apr, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , ,

    Approval of Bob Brown

    Q. Last week Bob Brown resigned from Parliament and the leadership of the Greens, after 16 years as a member of the Senate. Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of Bob Brown over his 16 years in Parliament?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total approve

    42%

    60%

    24%

    89%

    Total disapprove

    34%

    15%

    56%

    1%

    Strongly approve

    9%

    14%

    3%

    38%

    Approve

    33%

    46%

    21%

    51%

    Disapprove

    19%

    13%

    29%

    1%

    Strongly disapprove

    15%

    2%

    27%

    Don’t know

    24%

    25%

    20%

    10

    42% approve the performance of Bob Brown over his 16 years in Parliament and 34% disapprove. A majority of Greens voters (89%) and Labor voters (60%) approve but 56% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.

    Men split 40% approve/41% disapprove compared to women 43% approve/28% disapprove.

    By age group, approval/disapproval was 46%/21% for under 35’s, 43%/31% for 35-54’s and 35%/56% for 55+.

    Comments »

  • Apr, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,902 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    12/3/12

    2 weeks ago

    26/3/12

    Last week

    2/4/12

    This week

    10/4/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    46%

    47%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    47%

    48%

    50%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    34%

    33%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    54%

    55%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    46%

    45%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Apr, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,904 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    5/3/12

    2 weeks ago

    19/3/12

    Last week

    26/3/12

    This week

    2/4/12

    Liberal

    47%

    45%

    45%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    48%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    32%

    34%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    54%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    46%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,923 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    27/2/12

    2 weeks ago

    12/3/12

    Last week

    19/3/12

    This week

    26/3/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    45%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    31%

    32%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,918 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Liberal

    45%

    47%

    46%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    31%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    44%

    43%

    44%

     

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,902 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    46%

    47%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    10%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

Error: