Best Leader for GFC

Sep 5, 2011

Q. If there was another global financial crisis or a recession, which of the following would be best to lead Australia?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Kevin Rudd 24% 34% 13% 37%
Tony Abbott 20% 4% 44%
Julia Gillard 13% 42% 1% 18%
Malcolm Turnbull 13% 7% 17% 17%
Joe Hockey 7% 1% 11% 3%
Don’t know 22% 12% 15% 25%

24% think Kevin Rudd would be best to lead Australia if there was another GFC and 20% favour Tony Abbott.

Among Labor voters Julia Gillard is preferred over Kevin Rudd 42% to 34%. Support for the current party leaders among their own voters is very similar – 42% of Labor voters prefer Julia Gillard and 44% of Liberal/National voters prefer Tony Abbott.

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Government Decisions and Policies

Aug 29, 2011

Q. Thinking about what the Labor Government has done over the last few years, do you approve or disapprove of the following Government actions?

Total approve Total disapprove Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
Increased funding of health services 89% 5% 42% 47% 3% 2% 6%
Increasing the age pension 78% 14% 34% 44% 8% 6% 8%
Increasing superannuation to 12% 75% 13% 28% 47% 9% 4% 12%
Managing the economy to keep unemployment and interest rates low 70% 21% 21% 49% 12% 9% 10%
Spending on new school buildings 68% 24% 19% 49% 15% 9% 8%
Introducing a national disability insurance scheme 63% 13% 18% 45% 9% 4% 24%
Stimulus spending to tackle the GFC 61% 28% 21% 40% 15% 13% 11%
Paid parental leave 60% 30% 19% 41% 17% 13% 10%
Introducing a tax on large profits of mining companies 58% 29% 27% 31% 16% 13% 13%
Building the NBN (National Broadband Network) 54% 34% 19% 35% 17% 17% 12%
Stopping live cattle exports until welfare concerns were addressed 53% 34% 24% 29% 17% 17% 12%
Abolished WorkChoices 51% 33% 23% 28% 21% 12% 16%
Sending asylum seekers to Malaysia 39% 45% 17% 22% 20% 25% 16%
Introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change 33% 53% 15% 18% 14% 39% 14%

Government decisions and policies with highest approval were increased funding of health services (89% approve), increasing the age pension (78%) and increasing superannuation to 12% (75%).

Only two of the actions listed received less than majority approval – sending asylum seekers to Malaysia was 39% approve/45% disapprove and introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change was 33% approve/53% disapprove.

Labor voters showed majority approval of all decisions and policies, Greens voters showed majority approval for all except sending asylum seekers to Malaysia (21% approve/63% disapprove).

Liberal/National voters approved of half the items listed – increased funding of health services (89% approve), increasing the age pension (79%), increasing superannuation to 12% (71%), managing the economy to keep unemployment and interest rates low (54%), spending on new school buildings (54%), introducing a national disability insurance scheme (60%) and paid parental leave (52%).

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
Total approve 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35%
Total disapprove 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55%
Strongly approve 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6%
Approve 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29%
Disapprove 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31%
Don’t know 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11%

35% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 55% (down 7%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -33 to -20 over the last 4 weeks.

77% of Labor voters approve (up 5%) and 13% disapprove (down 7%).

By gender – men 35% approve/57% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 82% 7% 73%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 1% 73% 7%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 17% 20% 20%

38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 4% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +2%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/35% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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Preferred Leader of the Labor Party

Aug 3, 2011

Q. If you were able to choose any politician to be leader of the Labor Party, which of the following would you prefer? (This question was commissioned by Network Ten).

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Kevin Rudd 37% 43% 36% 35% 40% 33% 40% 39% 30%
Julia Gillard 12% 31% 2% 24% 10% 13% 12% 12% 12%
Malcolm Turnbull 11% 6% 17% 7% 12% 10% 10% 9% 15%
Stephen Smith 7% 6% 9% 2% 7% 6% 3% 6% 12%
Bob Brown 3% 2% 2% 11% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4%
Greg Combet 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3%
Bill Shorten 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Don’t know 28% 9% 32% 18% 22% 33% 31% 28% 22%

37% of respondents prefer Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party, 12% prefer Julia Gillard and 11% Malcolm Turnbull.

Among Labor voters, 43% prefer Kevin Rudd and 31% Julia Gillard.

Kevin Rudd is more preferred by younger respondents while those aged 55+ were more likely than the average to prefer Malcolm Turnbull (15%) and Stephen Smith (12%).

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May

2010

19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July
Total approve 41% 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29%
Total disapprove 47% 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62%
Strongly approve 7% 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5%
Approve 34% 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24%
Disapprove 25% 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30%
Strongly disapprove 22% 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32%
Don’t know 12% 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9%

29% (down 5%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 62% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -20 to -33 over the last 4 weeks.

72% of Labor voters approve (down 4%) and 20% disapprove (up 6%).

By gender – men 31% approve/63% disapprove, women 28% approve/61% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 85% 6% 68% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 5% 75% 9% 30%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 10% 19% 24% 23%

37% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – the first time that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 7% on last month’s figures (from +5% to -2%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Vote if Kevin Rudd Labor Leader

Jun 27, 2011

Q. If Kevin Rudd was the leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party), to which party will you probably give your first preference vote if a Federal Election was held today? If not sure, which party would you lean toward?

First preference Total Gave vote
Liberal 36% 39%
National 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 42%
Labor 41% 45%
Greens 7% 8%
Other/Independent 5% 6%
Don’t know 8%

If Kevin Rudd was leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party) 45% said they would give their first preference vote to Labor (up 13%) and 42% to the Liberal or National Parties (down 6%). The Greens vote drops 3% to 8%.

In two party preferred terms, this equates to 53% Labor/47% Liberal/National – a swing of 8% to Labor.

Most of the increased Labor vote comes from Liberal/National voters  – 12% of Liberal/National voters said they would vote Labor if Kevin Rudd was leader.

Groups with the largest shifts to Labor were women, aged under 35, NSW and lower incomes.

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