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  • May, 2011

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    Best Leader of the Labor Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 23% 51% 10% 26%
    Kevin Rudd 32% 31% 31% 31%
    Wayne Swan 2% 1% 3% 3%
    Greg Combet 4% 5% 3% 6%
    Bill Shorten 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Someone else 19% 5% 31% 11%
    Don’t know 17% 5% 18% 19%

    32% think Kevin Rudd would make the best leader of the Labor Party and 23% prefer Julia Gillard. Julia Gillard is preferred by 51% of Labor voters compared to 31% for Kevin Rudd. Men prefer Kevin Rudd over Julia Gillard 34% to 21% and women by 30% to 25%.

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  • May, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May

    2010

    5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11%

    41% (up 4%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 48% (down 2% disapprove – a change in net rating from -13 to -7 over the last 4 weeks.

    86% of Labor voters approve (up 8%) and 10% disapprove (down 2%).

    By gender – men 38% approve/55% disapprove, women 45% approve/41% disapprove.

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  • May, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 91% 7% 71% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 4% 76% 2% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 5% 17% 27% 23%

    43% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 35% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 1% on last month’s figures (from +9% to +8%).

    Men are split 41%/41% and women favour Julia Gillard 45%/29%.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May

    2010

    5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13%

    37% (down 4%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 50% (up 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -5 to -13 over the last 4 weeks.

    78% of Labor voters approve (down 9%) and 12% disapprove (up 5%).

    By gender – men 37% approve/53% disapprove, women 36% approve/47% disapprove.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 11 Apr 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 42% 86% 8% 75% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 33% 2% 72% 5% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 12% 20% 20% 23%

    42% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 2% on last month’s figures (from +11% to +9%).

    Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/38% and women 42%/29%.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May

    2010

    5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13%

    41% (down 7%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 46% (up 5%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +7 to -5 over the last 4 weeks.

    87% of Labor voters approve and 7% disapprove.

    By gender – men 41% approve/49% disapprove, women 42% approve/43% disapprove.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 88% 8% 73% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 3% 70% 4% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 9% 22% 22% 23%

    44% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from +17% to +11%).

    Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/37% and women 46%/29%.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Leadership or Broken Promise

    Q. Tony Abbott and the opposition claim this is a ‘backflip’ on a promise Prime Minister Gillard made before the 2010 election not to introduce a carbon tax in the next term of parliament. Which of the following statements is closest to your view:

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    The Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax 59% 33% 86% 26%
    The Prime Minister is showing strong leadership on an issue of national importance 27% 51% 7% 67%
    Don’t know 13% 16% 7% 7%

    59% agree are more likely to think that the Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax and 27% believe she is showing strong leadership on an issue of national importance.

    Opinions are strongly related to voting intention although a substantial minority (33%) of Labor voters agree that the Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait.

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