Approval of Julia Gillard

Jan 17, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14%

51% (up 8%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 36% (down 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +3 to +15 over the last 4 weeks.

89% of Labor voters approve and 6% disapprove.

By gender – men 51% approve/37% disapprove, women 50% approve/35% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Jan 17, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 46% 47% 49% 45% 45% 47% 89% 10% 78% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 35% 35% 33% 34% 34% 32% 2% 70% 3% 30%
Don’t know 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 21% 21% 9% 20% 19% 23%

47% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 32% prefer Tony Abbott – a net increase for Julia Gillard of 4% on last month’s figures (from  +11% to +15%).

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 48%/33% and women 47%/31%.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Dec 20, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17%

43% (no change) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 40% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +5 to +3.

85% of Labor voters approve and 7% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/42% disapprove, women 41% approve/37% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Dec 20, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 46% 47% 49% 45% 45% 88% 8% 72% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 35% 35% 33% 34% 34% 3% 74% 7% 30%
Don’t know 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 21% 9% 18% 21% 23%

45% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% prefer Tony Abbott – no change last month’s figures.

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 45%/39% and women 45%/29%.

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2011 Outlook – Politicians

Dec 20, 2010

Q. Do you think 2011 will be a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

Total good Total poor Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 28% 36% 5% 23% 23% 26% 10% 12%
Tony Abbott 29% 27% 5% 24% 32% 20% 7% 13%
Kevin Rudd 21% 30% 3% 18% 35% 21% 9% 14%
Malcolm Turnbull 20% 21% 3% 17% 41% 17% 4% 18%
Bob Brown 20% 30% 4% 16% 31% 18% 12% 19%

There were no strong expectations one way or the other that 2011 would be good or bad for politicians.

Overall, there were negative expectations for Julia Gillard (-8% net), Kevin Rudd (-9%) and Bob Brown (-10%) while respondents were divided over Tony Abbott (+2%) and Malcolm Turnbull (-1%).

Comparing these results with last week’s questions, respondents expect 2011 to be worse than 2010 for Julia Gillard (net +24% in 2010 compared to

-8% in 2011) and Bob Brown (+17% in 2010/-10% in 2011).

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Wikileaks – Australian Government Response

Dec 20, 2010

Q. The Australian Government has condemned the release of the Wikileaks material and the Prime Minister Julia Gillard has called it “grossly irresponsible” and “illegal”. Do you approve or disapprove of the response of the Prime Minister and the Australian Government to the publication of the Wikileaks material?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 32% 45% 28% 17%
Total disapprove 46% 38% 54% 66%
Strongly approve 11% 18% 8% 1%
Approve 21% 27% 20% 16%
Disapprove 27% 24% 31% 32%
Strongly disapprove 19% 14% 23% 34%
Don’t know 21% 17% 17% 17%

46% disapprove of the Australian Government’s response to the publication of the Wikileaks material and 32% approve – 21% have no opinion. A majority of Coalition (54%) and Greens voters (66%) disapproved while Labor voters were more likely to approve (45%/38%).

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The Past Year – Politicians

Dec 13, 2010

 Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

  Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 14% 35% 22% 17% 8% 4%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 9% 29% 28% 11% 10% 13%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 4% 26% 32% 25% 8% 6%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 1% 9% 35% 30% 13% 11%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 2% 8% 15% 36% 34% 5%

 

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
  Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 69% 8% 36% 43% 57% 17%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 40% 17% 35% 31% 68% 6%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 19% 45% 44% 21% 17% 54%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 6% 50% 15% 42% 6% 50%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 14% 64% 8% 81% 11% 73%

Overall, Julia Gillard (49% good/25% bad) and Bob Brown (38%/21%) are thought to have had a good year. Respondents were divided on whether Tony Abbott has had a good year (30%/33%).

A majority of their own voters thought Julia Gillard (69%) and Bob Brown (68%) have had a good year but only 44% of Liberal/National voters think Tony Abbott has had a good year. There is a substantial gender difference on the assessment of Tony Abbott – men split 37% good/30% bad and women 23% good/36% bad. Comments »

Party Best at Dealing with Climate Change Issue

Dec 6, 2010

Q. Which leader and party would you trust most to understand and deal with the climate change issue?

Dec 10 Dec 09 *
Julia Gillard and Labor 23% 24%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 29% 27%
Bob Brown and Greens 19% 17%
Don’t know 29% 32%

* Note : Similar but not identical question asked in 2009.

29% trust Tony Abbott and the Coalition most to understand and deal with the climate change issue, 23% trust Julia Gillard and Labor and 19% trust Bob Brown and the Greens.

These figures are little changed since this question was previously asked in December 2009.

58% of Labor voters trust Labor most, 65% of Coalition voters trust the Liberals and 83% of Greens voters trust the Greens.

Of those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity, 31% trust the Greens, 27% Labor and 15% the Liberals.

Of those who believe that climate change is a very important issue, 38% trust the Greens, 31% Labor and 10% the Liberals.

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