Awareness of Julia Gillard and AWU issue

Dec 3, 2012

Q. How much have you read or heard about the Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s involvement with the AWU when she was working as a lawyer 20 years ago?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

A lot

31%

37%

35%

12%

Some

29%

30%

33%

30%

A little

25%

23%

22%

35%

Nothing

12%

7%

8%

22%

Don’t know

3%

2%

2%

1%

60% said they had read or heard a lot or some about the Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s involvement with the AWU when she was working as a lawyer 20 years ago, 25% said they had read/heard a little and 12% had read/heard nothing.

Those most likely to have read/heard a lot/some were men (65%), aged 55+ (78%) and Liberal/National voters (67%).

Those most likely to have read/heard a little/nothing were women (42%), aged 18-34 (53%) and Greens voters (57%).

Handling of Julia Gillard and AWU issue

Dec 3, 2012

Q. How would you rate the way each of the following have handled this issue concerning Julia Gillard and the AWU? (based on respondents who have read or heard about the issue)

 

Total good

Total poor

 

Very good

Good

Neither good nor poor

Poor

Very poor

Don’t know

Julia Gillard

39%

35%

13%

26%

19%

11%

24%

6%

The Opposition

20%

49%

5%

15%

23%

21%

28%

7%

The media

20%

37%

5%

15%

36%

20%

17%

7%

 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Heard a lot

Heard some

Heard a little

Julia Gillard – Good

– Poor

39%

35%

71%

7%

17%

60%

58%

15%

39%

49%

43%

36%

38%

21%

Opposition -Good

– Poor

20%

49%

4%

79%

41%

21%

5%

75%

26%

58%

25%

47%

11%

45%

Media – Good

– Poor

20%

37%

7%

49%

35%

24%

13%

46%

25%

43%

24%

34%

14%

36%

39% think Julia Gillard’s handling of the issue has been good and 35% think it has been poor. Among Labor voters, 71% think it has been good and 7% poor and among those who have read/heard a lot about the issue, 39% think it has been good and 49% poor.

20% think the Opposition’s handling of the issue has been good and 49% think it has been poor. Among Liberal/National voters, 41% think it has been good and 21% poor and among those who have read/heard a lot about the issue, 26% think it has been good and 58% poor.

20% think the media’s handling of the issue has been good and 37% think it has been poor. Among those who have read/heard a lot about the issue, 25% think it has been good and 43% poor.

Impact of AWU issue on views of Julia Gillard

Dec 3, 2012

Q. How has the issue concerning Julia Gillard and the AWU affected your views on Julia Gillard as Prime Minister?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Heard a lot

Heard some

Heard a little

Total more negative

38%

9%

64%

20%

51%

37%

23%

Total more positive/no difference

59%

89%

35%

77%

49%

62%

71%

A lot more negative

21%

1%

41%

5%

37%

18%

6%

Somewhat more negative

17%

8%

23%

15%

15%

19%

17%

Made little or no difference

48%

67%

31%

57%

30%

54%

66%

Somewhat more positive

6%

11%

2%

8%

9%

5%

3%

A lot more positive

5%

11%

2%

12%

10%

3%

2%

Don’t know

4%

2%

1%

4%

1%

5%

38% say the issue has made them feel more negative about Julia Gillard as prime Minister while 59% say it has made little or no difference or made them feel more positive.

Among Labor voters 89% say it has made them feel more positive or made little or no difference.

64% of Liberal/National voters say it has made them more negative while 35% say it has made little/no difference or made them more positive.

Those most likely to feel more negative about Julia Gillard were aged 55+ (45%)

Leaders positions on asylum seekers

Dec 3, 2012

Q. Regardless of how you vote, what words would you use to describe the positions taken by Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott on the issue of asylum seekers? Choose as many that you think apply.

 

17 Oct 2011

3 Dec 2012

 

Julia Gillard

Tony Abbott

Julia Gillard

Tony Abbott

Difference

Just playing politics

46%

47%

39%

42%

-3

Too soft

21%

7%

32%

9%

+23

Stubborn

26%

20%

13%

17%

-4

Populist

13%

14%

13%

11%

+2

Fair

10%

15%

10%

13%

-3

Responsible

11%

16%

9%

14%

-5

Unethical

24%

14%

9%

13%

-4

Balanced

7%

11%

7%

10%

-3

Too hard

10%

6%

6%

11%

-5

Cruel

13%

9%

5%

11%

-6

Principled

6%

11%

5%

8%

-3

Visionary

6%

5%

2%

4%

-2

The most common descriptor for both Julia Gillard (39%) and Tony Abbott (42%) was that they are “just playing politics” over the issue of asylum seekers.

The main difference between the leaders positions on asylum seekers was that Julia Gillard was more likely to be considered “too soft” (32% to 9%).

Since this question was asked in October last year, the proportion describe Julia Gillard’s position as too soft has increased by 11%, stubborn decreased by 13%, unethical decreased by 15% and cruel decreased by 8%. Opinions of Tony Abbott’s position have remained much the same.

Approval of Julia Gillard

Nov 12, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

 

19 Jul 2010

20 Dec

14 Mar

2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

12 Mar 2012

12 Jun

10 Sept

15 Oct

12 Nov

Total approve

52%

43%

41%

34%

28%

34%

32%

32%

35%

41%

41%

Total disapprove

30%

40%

46%

54%

64%

54%

61%

56%

54%

51%

49%

Strongly approve

11%

10%

7%

6%

5%

6%

8%

6%

7%

9%

7%

Approve

41%

33%

34%

28%

23%

28%

24%

26%

28%

32%

34%

Disapprove

17%

24%

22%

29%

28%

25%

29%

22%

27%

24%

25%

Strongly disapprove

13%

16%

24%

25%

36%

29%

32%

34%

27%

27%

24%

Don’t know

18%

17%

13%

13%

8%

11%

7%

12%

11%

8%

10%

41% (no change) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 49% (down 2%) disapprove – a 2-point change in net rating from -10 to -8. This is Julia Gillard’s best approval rating since May 2011.

85% of Labor voters approve (down 2%) and 8% disapprove (down 1%).

By gender – men 37% approve/53% disapprove, women 44% approve/44% disapprove.  In net terms this represents a decline with men from -14 to -16 and an improvement with women from -4 to 0.

Better Prime Minister

Nov 12, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 2010

14 Mar 2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

12 Mar 2012

12 Jun

10 Sept

15 Oct

12 Nov

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

53%

44%

41%

36%

39%

40%

37%

40%

43%

45%

86%

6%

81%

Tony Abbott

26%

33%

36%

40%

35%

37%

37%

37%

36%

32%

4%

71%

4%

Don’t know

21%

23%

24%

24%

26%

23%

26%

24%

20%

23%

10%

23%

15%

45% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 32% (down 4%) prefer Tony Abbott. This is Julia Gillard’s best result since February 2011.

Men prefer Julia Gillard 40%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 49%/28%. Compared to last month’s figures, Julia Gillard’s margin over Tony Abbott has changed 4 points in her favour among men (from 40%/40%) and 7 points among women (from 47%/33%).

Perceptions of Julia Gillard

Oct 16, 2012

Q. Thinking about the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, please indicate yes or no for each of the following statements:

 

Total

Vote

Labor

Vote

Lib/Nat

Vote

Greens

Men

Women

Has the right temperament to be Prime Minister

58%

86%

36%

83%

54%

62%

Is embarrassing as Prime Minister of Australia

43%

17%

67%

18%

46%

40%

Is someone that can effectively represent Australia’s interests

46%

82%

20%

67%

45%

46%

Serves my interests as Prime Minister

36%

76%

11%

47%

35%

37%

Is too influenced by their religious beliefs

16%

12%

19%

15%

18%

14%

Is the best person to lead their party

36%

64%

18%

44%

33%

39%

Is someone that understands the challenges facing Australian women

62%

87%

44%

84%

60%

63%

Has good parental leave policies

53%

73%

42%

59%

52%

54%

Has difficulty controlling their aggression

25%

12%

38%

8%

29%

22%

More half the respondents agreed that Julia Gillard understands the challenges facing Australian women (62%), has the right temperament to be Prime Minister (58%) and has good parental leave policies (53%). Her main negatives were that only 36% agree she is the best person to lead their party and 36% agree she will serve my interests as Prime Minister.

The main differences by gender were on the statements that she is someone that has the right temperament to be Prime Minister (men 54%/women 62%), has difficulty controlling their aggression (29%/22%), is embarrassing as Prime Minister of Australia (46%/40%) and is the best person to lead their party (33%/39%).

Abbott vs Gillard

Oct 16, 2012
 

Tony Abbott

Julia
Gillard

 

Has the right temperament to be Prime Minister

42%

58%

Has the right temperament to be Prime Minister
Would be embarrassing as Prime Minister of Australia

50%

43%

Is embarrassing as Prime Minister of Australia
Is someone that can effectively represent Australia’s interests

43%

46%

Is someone that can effectively represent Australia’s interests
Will serve my interests as Prime Minister

39%

36%

Serves my interests as Prime Minister
Is too influenced by their religious beliefs

40%

16%

Is too influenced by their religious beliefs
Is the best person to lead their party

33%

36%

Is the best person to lead their party
Is someone that understands the challenges facing Australian women

39%

62%

Is someone that understands the challenges facing Australian women
Has good parental leave policies

44%

53%

Has good parental leave policies
Has difficulty controlling their aggression

44%

25%

Has difficulty controlling their aggression

The major perceived differences between the Prime Minister Julia Gillard and the Opposition Leader Tony Abbott were that Julia Gillard was more likely to be someone that “understands the challenges facing Australian women” (+23%), “has the right temperament to be Prime Minister” (+16%) and has “good parental leave policies” (+9%).

Tony Abbott was more likely to be associated with “too influenced by their religious beliefs” (+24%), “has difficulty controlling their aggression” (+19%) and “would be embarrassing as Prime Minister of Australia” (+7%).

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