Approval of Julia Gillard

Mar 12, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

 

19 Jul 2010

20 Dec 2010

14 Mar

2011

14 June

12 Sept

17 Oct

14 Nov

12 Dec

16 Jan 2012

13 Feb

12 Mar

Total approve

52%

43%

41%

34%

28%

34%

37%

34%

37%

36%

32%

Total disapprove

30%

40%

46%

54%

64%

59%

55%

54%

52%

53%

61%

Strongly approve

11%

10%

7%

6%

5%

7%

8%

6%

6%

6%

8%

Approve

41%

33%

34%

28%

23%

27%

29%

28%

31%

30%

24%

Disapprove

17%

24%

22%

29%

28%

27%

25%

25%

27%

26%

29%

Strongly disapprove

13%

16%

24%

25%

36%

32%

30%

29%

25%

27%

32%

Don’t know

18%

17%

13%

13%

8%

7%

9%

11%

12%

11%

7%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has dropped substantially since last month. 32% (down 4%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 61% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -17 to -29 over the last 4 weeks. This is her lowest rating since September.

75% of Labor voters approve (down 4%) and 20% disapprove (up 6%).

By gender – men 32% approve/62% disapprove, women 32% approve/60% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Mar 12, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 2010

14 Mar

14 June

12 Sept

17 Oct

14 Nov

12 Dec

16 Jan 2012

13 Feb

12 Mar

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

53%

44%

41%

36%

38%

41%

39%

39%

41%

40%

84%

6%

74%

Tony Abbott

26%

33%

36%

40%

39%

36%

35%

36%

34%

37%

4%

76%

5%

Don’t know

21%

23%

24%

24%

23%

24%

26%

25%

25%

23%

12%

18%

21%

40% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 3%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +7% to +3% for Julia Gillard.

Both men and women prefer Julia Gillard 40%/37%.

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More or Less Likely to Vote Labor

Mar 5, 2012

Q. Has the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party made you more or less likely to support the ALP at the next federal election.

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total more likely

13%

33%

5%

18%

Total less likely

47%

21%

64%

38%

Much more likely

6%

17%

1%

5%

A little more likely

7%

16%

4%

13%

A little less likely

10%

11%

7%

16%

Much less likely

37%

10%

57%

22%

Makes no difference

34%

42%

30%

43%

Don’t know

5%

3%

1%

47% say that the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader has made them less likely to support the Labor Party and only 13% say it has made them more likely to support the Labor Party at the next election.

Among Labor voters, 33% say it has made them more likely and 21% less likely to support Labor.

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Performance during Leadership Challenge

Mar 5, 2012

Q. How would you rate the performance of the following during the Labor leadership challenge?

 

Total good

Total poor

Very good

Good

Average

Poor

Very poor

Don’t know

Julia Gillard

23%

49%

10%

13%

24%

17%

32%

4%

Kevin Rudd

33%

35%

12%

21%

27%

16%

19%

4%

Labor Party Ministers

10%

52%

2%

8%

30%

25%

27%

8%

Tony Abbott

25%

40%

9%

16%

27%

18%

22%

8%

The media

14%

43%

3%

11%

35%

20%

23%

6%

Apart from Kevin Rudd, the performance of all parties to the leadership challenge were rated poorly.

33% thought the performance of Kevin Rudd was good and 35% poor. For Julia Gillard the rating was 23% good and 49% poor. Labor Party Ministers were rated most negatively – 10% good and 52% poor.

However, Julia Gillard was rated a little better than Kevin Rudd by Labor voters – their rating of Julia Gillard was 50% good/15% poor compared to 49% good/22% poor for Kevin Rudd.

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Labor Leadership issue

Feb 27, 2012

Q. Who do you think is mainly responsible for the leadership problems of the Labor Party?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Kevin Rudd

18%

27%

16%

21%

Julia Gillard

39%

28%

55%

16%

Other people in the Labor Party

23%

23%

21%

25%

The media

10%

16%

4%

25%

Don’t know

10%

7%

4%

12%

39% of respondents think that Julia Gillard is mainly responsible for the leadership problems of the Labor Party, 23% think other people in the Labor Party are responsible and 18% think Kevin Rudd is responsible. Only 10% think the media are mainly responsible.

A majority (55%) of Liberal/National voters think Julia Gillard is mainly responsible while Labor and Greens voters are fairly evenly divided between Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd and other people in the Labor Party. 25% of Greens voters think that the media are responsible.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 2010 20 Dec 2010 14 Mar

2011

14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb
Total approve 52% 43% 41% 34% 28% 34% 37% 34% 37% 36%
Total disapprove 30% 40% 46% 54% 64% 59% 55% 54% 52% 53%
Strongly approve 11% 10% 7% 6% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6%
Approve 41% 33% 34% 28% 23% 27% 29% 28% 31% 30%
Disapprove 17% 24% 22% 29% 28% 27% 25% 25% 27% 26%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 24% 25% 36% 32% 30% 29% 25% 27%
Don’t know 18% 17% 13% 13% 8% 7% 9% 11% 12% 11%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has remained much the same as last month. 36% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 53% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -15 to -17 over the last 4 weeks.

79% of Labor voters approve (up 3%) and 14% disapprove (down 1%).

By gender – men 39% approve/53% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 85% 5% 76%
Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 35% 36% 34% 3% 73% 7%
Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 26% 25% 25% 12% 22% 17%

41% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (down 2%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +3% to +7% for Julia Gillard. This is Julia Gillard’s best result since May last year.

Men prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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Leaders at the Next Election

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party at the election due next year?

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party at the election due next year?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard Yes 31% 54% 19% 43%
No 47% 22% 70% 26%
Don’t know 22% 24% 11% 31%
Tony Abbott Yes 47% 37% 67% 34%
No 25% 37% 12% 31%
Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 35%

31% think Julia Gillard will still be the leader of the Labor Party at the election due next year and 47% think she will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 54% of Labor voters think she will still be the leader.

47% think Tony Abbott will still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the election due next year and 25% think he will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 67% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be the leader.

Among non-major party voters, 36% think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party and 33% think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party.

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