Liberal Party and WorkChoices

Nov 21, 2011

Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?

31 May 10 12 July 10 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total likely 58% 56% 51% 75% 33% 78%
Total unlikely 21% 24% 27% 13% 44% 11%
Very likely 28% 26% 22% 45% 4% 41%
Quite likely 30% 30% 29% 30% 29% 37%
Not very likely 18% 18% 19% 9% 31% 8%
Not at all likely 3% 6% 8% 4% 13% 3%
Don’t know 20% 20% 22% 11% 23% 11%

Respondents were less likely to think that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices than when a similar question was asked last year. 51% (down 5%) think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 27% (up 3%) think it is unlikely.

75% of Labor voters and 78% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 33% likely to 44% unlikely.

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Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

Nov 21, 2011

Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?

31 May 10 12 July 10 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Very concerned 28% 29% 26% 53% 4% 54%
Quite concerned 17% 19% 15% 22% 11% 15%
A little concerned 20% 16% 20% 12% 24% 21%
Not concerned 24% 25% 27% 6% 52% 6%
Don’t know 11% 11% 11% 7% 9% 4%

Respondents were also less concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 41% (down 7%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 47% (up 6%) were only a little or not concerned.

75% of Labor voters and 69% of Greens voters would be concerned. 76% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 15% concerned. Those most concerned were aged 25-34 (47%) and aged 45-54 (48%).

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Exporting Uranium to India

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the proposal for Australia to export uranium to India?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 30% 31% 35% 17%
Total oppose 45% 40% 47% 66%
Strongly support 7% 6% 10% 1%
Support 23% 25% 25% 16%
Oppose 24% 25% 25% 30%
Strongly oppose 21% 15% 22% 36%
Don’t know 25% 28% 17% 17%

30% support the proposal for Australia to export uranium to India and 45% oppose – 25% had no opinion. All voter groups were more likely to oppose the sale of uranium to India.

All age groups were more likely to oppose the proposal – and men were split 43% support to 41% oppose, compared to women 18% support/49% oppose.

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Nuclear Power Plants

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity?

27 Jan 2009 20 Dec 2010 21 Mar 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 43% 43% 35% 39% 31% 50% 27%
Total oppose 35% 37% 53% 45% 53% 37% 68%
Strongly support 14% 16% 12% 13% 7% 20% 9%
Support 29% 27% 23% 26% 24% 30% 18%
Oppose 21% 21% 21% 22% 27% 18% 25%
Strongly oppose 14% 16% 32% 23% 26% 19% 43%
Don’t know 22% 19% 13% 16% 16% 13% 6%

45% oppose Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity and 39% support. This is a considerable shift in opinion since this question was last asked in March following the problems with the nuclear power plants in Japan after the tsunami. However, there remains net opposition to nuclear power plants – compared to net support in surveys conducted in 2009 and 2010.

Those that intend to vote Lib/Nat were more likely to support (50%) than oppose (37%) Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

There was majority opposition from Labor (53% oppose or strongly oppose) and the Greens (68% oppose or strongly oppose).

There is a considerable difference between the attitudes of males and females towards nuclear power plants – 56% of males, compared to just 24% of females support or strongly support Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,898 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 44% 43% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 46% 47%
Labor 38.0% 33% 34% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8% 11% 10% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 9% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 55% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 45% 45% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Nov 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 2010 20 Dec 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov
Total approve 52% 43% 41% 34% 28% 34% 37%
Total disapprove 30% 40% 46% 54% 64% 59% 55%
Strongly approve 11% 10% 7% 6% 5% 7% 8%
Approve 41% 33% 34% 28% 23% 27% 29%
Disapprove 17% 24% 22% 29% 28% 27% 25%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 24% 25% 36% 32% 30%
Don’t know 18% 17% 13% 13% 8% 7% 9%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has continued the improvement shown last month. 37% (up 3%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 55% (down 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -25 to -18 over the last 4 weeks. This represents Julia Gillard’s best ratings since May.

81% of Labor voters approve (up 7%) and 16% disapprove (down 5%).

By gender – men 37% approve/57% disapprove, women 36% approve/52% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Nov 14, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 83% 7% 80%
Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 5% 73% 4%
Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 12% 20% 17%

41% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from -1% to +5%). This is the best result for Julia Gillard since June.

Men are evenly split 39%/39% and women favour Julia Gillard 42%/33%.

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Australia’s Future

Nov 14, 2011

Q. To which region do you think Australia’s future is most closely tied?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Europe 7% 6% 7% 5%
Asia 74% 81% 76% 82%
North America 9% 6% 10% 10%
Don’t know 10% 6% 8% 4%

74% think Australia’s future is most closely tied to Asia – only 9% think it is tied to North America and 7% Europe.

Views are similar across major voter groups. However, younger respondents were a little less likely to agree – 68% of those aged under 35 think Australia’s future is most closely tied to Asia compared to 81% of those aged 55+.

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