Succession to the British Throne

Oct 24, 2011

Q. Currently a male child takes precedence over a female child in succeeding the British throne, even if he is younger than his older sister. In your opinion, should the laws relating to the Royal Family be changed to allow the first born to become King or Queen regardless of whether they are male or female?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
The law should change so the first born child succeeds the throne regardless of gender 61% 69% 59% 77%
The law should remain the same so that male heirs have priority 13% 9% 17% 4%
No opinion 25% 22% 24% 19%

61% agreed that the law should change so the first born child succeeds the throne and only 13% think the law should remain the same so that male heirs have priority. These results are very similar to a poll conducted in UK in April which showed 60% agreeing with a law change and 18% opposed (Angus Reid Public Opinion).

A majority of all demographic and voter groups supported a law change.

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Qantas Dispute – Most to Blame

Oct 24, 2011

Q. Qantas and its workers are currently in dispute over pay, conditions and jobs. Who do you think is most to blame for this dispute – Qantas management or the workers?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Qantas management 36% 54% 25% 47%
Qantas workers 13% 6% 22% 4%
Both equally 37% 30% 41% 34%
Don’t know 14% 10% 12% 15%

36% believe that Qantas management is most to blame for the current dispute and 13% think the workers are most to blame – 37% think both are equally to blame.

All demographic and voter groups are more likely to think management is to blame than workers.

54% of Labor voters and 47% of Greens voters think management is most to blame while Liberal/National voters are more likely to think both are equally to blame (41%).

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Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 17, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,905  respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 46% 45% 45% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 49% 48% 48% 48%
Labor 38.0% 32% 33% 33% 33%
Greens 11.8% 10% 11% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 9% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 56% 55% 55% 55%
Labor 50.1% 44% 45% 45% 45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept 17 Oct
Total approve 52% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35% 28% 34%
Total disapprove 30% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55% 64% 59%
Strongly approve 11% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7%
Approve 41% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29% 23% 27%
Disapprove 17% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24% 28% 27%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31% 36% 32%
Don’t know 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11% 8% 7%

After dropping last month Julia Gillard’s approval rating has improved this month. 34% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 59% (down 5%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -36 to -25 over the last 5 weeks.

74% of Labor voters approve (up 8%) and 21% disapprove (down 5%).

By gender – men 36% approve/60% disapprove, women 32% approve/58% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept 17 Oct Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 36% 38% 82% 4% 85%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 40% 39% 2% 82% 4%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 24% 23% 16% 14% 11%

38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 3% on last month’s figures (from -4% to -1%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/38% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Carbon Tax

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 18 April 23 May 14 June 18 July 1 Aug 19 Sep 17 Oct Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 37% 39% 66% 15% 80%
Total oppose 48% 49% 44% 49% 49% 51% 52% 53% 24% 81% 16%
Strongly support 9% 13% 14% 13% 15% 15% 14% 14% 25% 2% 45%
Support 26% 26% 27% 25% 24% 24% 23% 25% 41% 13% 35%
Oppose 19% 15% 15% 19% 16% 19% 17% 17% 14% 19% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 34% 29% 30% 33% 32% 35% 36% 10% 62% 6%
Don’t know 18% 12% 15% 13% 12% 10% 12% 9% 10% 4% 3%

Views on the carbon pricing scheme have changed very little since June. 39% support the scheme (up 2% since September) and 53% oppose (up 1%).

The only demographic group to support the scheme were aged under 35’s – 46% support/43% oppose. Among those aged 55+, 33% support and 63% oppose.

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Repeal Carbon Tax

Oct 17, 2011

Q. If the carbon tax is passed into legislation and Tony Abbott wins the next election, which of the following do you think should happen:

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
The carbon tax should remain legislation to provide certainty for individuals and business 21% 42% 5% 43%
The carbon tax should remain legislation only if it proves to be effective in reducing carbon pollution 33% 36% 29% 41%
Tony Abbott should call a further special election (called a ‘double dissolution’) to get the numbers in the Senate to repeal the carbon tax. 34% 10% 57% 12%
Don’t know 12% 12% 8% 4%

34% think that if the carbon tax is passed into legislation and Tony Abbott wins the next election, he should call a further election to get the numbers in the Senate to repeal the carbon tax. 21% think that carbon tax should remain legislation and 33% think it should remain only if it proves to be effective in reducing carbon pollution.

42% of Labor voters and 43% of Greens voters think it should remain legislation, while 57% of Coalition voters think Tony Abbott should call another election to get the numbers to repeal it.

38% of men and 39% of those aged 55+ think Tony Abbott should call another election, while 38% of women and 40% of those aged under 35 think it should remain only if it proves to be effective in reducing carbon pollution.

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Economic Prosperity

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Which one of the following do you believe will be the most important factor in Australia’s economic prosperity over the next 20 years?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
A strong resources sector 29% 29% 35% 18%
Continued growth in China and India 21% 23% 22% 24%
Investment in skills 20% 22% 16% 23%
Prioritising innovation and technology 18% 18% 13% 31%
A strong banking and finance sector 12% 9% 13% 5%

29% believe that a strong resources sector will be the most important factor in Australia’s economic prosperity over the next 20 years and 21% nominate the continued growth in China and India. Labor and Coalition voters were more likely to niominate “a strong resources sector” while 31% of Greens voters nominated “prioritising innovation and technology”.

Those on higher incomes were more likely to nominate “a strong resources sector “  – 36% of those on income $1,600+ pw.

There were no major differences by age group.

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