Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 15, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,924 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

17/9/12

2 weeks ago

1/10/12

Last week

8/10/12

This week

15/10/12

Liberal

45%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

36%

37%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

7%

7%

8%

 

2PP

Election
21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 8, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  2,100 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

10/09/2012

2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

Last week 01/10/2012

This week

Liberal

44%

45%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

35%

36%

37%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

7%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 10/09/2012

2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

Last week

01/10/2012

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

55%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

45%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 17, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 2,003 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

3/9/12

Last week

10/9/2012

This week

Liberal

46%

44%

44%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

32%

34%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

3/9/12

Last week

10/9/2012

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

43%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 10, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 2,077 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

13/8/12

2 weeks ago

27/8/12

Last week

3/9/12

This week

10 Sept 2012

Liberal

46%

46%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

32%

32%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

 

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 3, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,871 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

6/8/12

2 weeks ago

20/8/12

Last week

27/8/12

This week

3/9/12

Liberal

46%

46%

46%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

38.0%

33%

32%

32%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 13, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,868 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

16/7/12

2 weeks ago

30/7/12

Last week

6/8/12

This week

13/8/12

Liberal

46%

45%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

31%

33%

33%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

55%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

43%

45%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Party with Better Policies

Aug 6, 2012

Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?

 

Labor Party

Liberal Party

No difference

Don’t know

Pensioners

32%

21%

30%

17%

Unemployed people

36%

18%

29%

17%

People with disabilities

32%

16%

30%

22%

Carers

30%

18%

30%

22%

People on low incomes

40%

18%

26%

16%

All working people

29%

30%

26%

15%

The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (40% Labor/18% Liberal), unemployed people (36%/18%) and people with disabilities (32%/16%).

Of those aged 55+, 40% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 23% thought the Liberals had better policies.

30% think the Liberals have better policies for all working people and 29% think Labor has better policies. Full-time workers are more likely to think The Liberals have better policies (37% Liberal/24% Labor) which part-time workers are more likely to favour Labor (37% Labor/29% Liberal).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,837 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/7/12

2 weeks ago

16/7/12

Last week

23/7/12

This week

30/7/12

Liberal

45%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

31%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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