13 August 2012, 130812, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,868 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 16/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 30/7/12 |
Last week 6/8/12 |
This week 13/8/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
55% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
06 August 2012, 060812, ALP, better policies, carers, Labor, Liberals, low income earners, pensioners, people with disabilities, unemployed people, working people
Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?
|
Labor Party |
Liberal Party |
No difference |
Don’t know |
|
| Pensioners |
32% |
21% |
30% |
17% |
| Unemployed people |
36% |
18% |
29% |
17% |
| People with disabilities |
32% |
16% |
30% |
22% |
| Carers |
30% |
18% |
30% |
22% |
| People on low incomes |
40% |
18% |
26% |
16% |
| All working people |
29% |
30% |
26% |
15% |
The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (40% Labor/18% Liberal), unemployed people (36%/18%) and people with disabilities (32%/16%).
Of those aged 55+, 40% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 23% thought the Liberals had better policies.
30% think the Liberals have better policies for all working people and 29% think Labor has better policies. Full-time workers are more likely to think The Liberals have better policies (37% Liberal/24% Labor) which part-time workers are more likely to favour Labor (37% Labor/29% Liberal).
2PP, 30 July 2012, 300712, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,837 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 2/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 16/7/12 |
Last week 23/7/12 |
This week 30/7/12 |
| Liberal |
45% |
46% |
45% |
45% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
31% |
33% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
09 July 2012, 090712, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberals, Nationals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,876 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 12/6/12 |
2 weeks ago 25/6/12 |
Last week 2/7/12 |
This week 9/7/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
33% |
32% |
31% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
18 June 2012, 180612, 2PP, ALP, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberals, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,842 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 21/5/12 |
2 weeks ago 4/6/12 |
Last week 12/6/12 |
This week 18/6/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
50% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
28 May 2012, 280512, Election, federal politics, Labor, liberal.greens, poll, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,884 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 30/4/12 |
2 weeks ago 14/5/12 |
Last week 21/5/12 |
This week 28/5/12 |
| Liberal |
46% |
47% |
46% |
47% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
50% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
30% |
33% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
7 |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
57% |
56% |
57% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
28 May 2012, 280512, Labor, Liberal, Party Comparison
|
Labor |
Liberal
|
% difference |
|
| Divided |
73% |
37% |
+36% |
| Looks after the interests of working people |
47% |
40% |
+7% |
| Will promise to do anything to win votes |
70% |
63% |
+7% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
58% |
53% |
+5% |
| Moderate |
50% |
52% |
-2% |
| Extreme |
31% |
34% |
-3% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
52% |
-6% |
| Have a vision for the future |
41% |
48% |
-7% |
| Has a good team of leaders |
29% |
39% |
-10% |
| Keeps its promises |
22% |
34% |
-12% |
| Clear about what they stand for |
31% |
46% |
-15% |
| Too close to the big corporate and financial interests |
36% |
58% |
-22% |
The Labor Party is viewed more favourably than the Liberal Party in terms of – too close to the big corporate and financial interests and looks after the interests of working people.
The Liberal Party is seen more favourably in terms of – divided, clear about what they stand for, keeps it promises and has a good team of leaders..
28 May 2012, 280512, Australian economy, Greens, income, Labor, Liberals
Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total good |
35% |
56% |
24% |
54% |
| Total poor |
29% |
13% |
42% |
18% |
| Very good |
6% |
13% |
2% |
17% |
| Good |
29% |
43% |
22% |
37% |
| Neither good nor poor |
33% |
30% |
33% |
28% |
| Poor |
20% |
9% |
29% |
14% |
| Very poor |
9% |
4% |
13% |
4% |
| Don’t know |
2% |
2% |
* |
1% |
35% described the economy as good or very good and 29% poor/very poor – 33% said it was neither.
Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were aged 18-34 (41%) and people with incomes over $1,600pw (44%).
Those most likely to think the economy was poor/very poor were aged 55+ (34%) and people with incomes of $600-$1,000pw (36%).