Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 5, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,922 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 46% 45% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 46% 48% 48% 47%
Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 34% 34%
Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 11% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 7% 8% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 55% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 45% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal Election

Dec 5, 2011

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

5 Sept 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should run to 2013 40% 47% 89% 20% 73%
Should hold election now 48% 41% 7% 74% 16%
Don’t know 12% 12% 4% 6% 11%

47% think that the Labor Government should be allowed to run its full term trough to 2013 and 41% think a new election should be held. This is almost exactly the reverse of the results when this question was previously asked in September when 48% thought an election should be held now and 40% thought the Government should run its full term.

Support for the Government to run its full term has increased among Labor voters (from 82% to 89%) and Liberal/National voters (11% to 20%) but dropped from 80% to 73% for Greens voters.

Comments »

Party trust to handle important election issues

Dec 5, 2011

Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
Management of the economy 27% 45% 2% 25%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 34% 36% 5% 25%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 31% 34% 6% 29%
Protecting the environment 16% 23% 37% 24%
A fair industrial relations system 38% 34% 5% 23%
Political leadership 23% 40% 5% 33%
Addressing climate change 19% 25% 31% 25%
Controlling interest rates 24% 42% 2% 32%
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 32% 35% 4% 29%
Ensuring a quality water supply 18% 30% 24% 29%
Housing affordability 23% 33% 5% 38%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 28% 37% 4% 31%
Security and the war on terrorism 21% 40% 3% 35%
Treatment of asylum seekers 17% 36% 12% 35%
Managing population growth 18% 35% 9% 39%

Labor does not have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party on any item measured.  The 9% lead it had in June on “a fair industrial relations system” has been reduced to 4%. There is also little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.

Overall, there has been a slight weakening of Labor’s position since June.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 28, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,898 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 44% 44% 46% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 47% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 38.0% 34% 35% 34% 34%
Greens 11.8% 10% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 8% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 54% 55% 54%
Labor 50.1% 45% 46% 44% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 21, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,902 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 43% 44% 46%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 46% 47% 48%
Labor 38.0% 32% 35% 35% 34%
Greens 11.8% 11% 9% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 9% 8% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 54% 54% 55%
Labor 50.1% 45% 46% 46% 45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Australian troops in Afghanistan

Nov 21, 2011

Q.  Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –

25 Oct 2010 21 Mar 2011 29 Aug 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan 10% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3%
Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan 30% 30% 26% 22% 21% 29% 11%
Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan 47% 56% 64% 64% 66% 57% 76%
Don’t know 14% 9% 7% 11% 10% 10% 10%

64% (no change) think Australia should withdraw our troops from Afghanistan, 22% (down 4%) think we should maintain troop numbers and 3% (down 1%) think we should increase them.

Since October last year, support for withdrawal of Australian troops has increased from 47% to 64%. There was majority support for withdrawal by all voting groups – 57% of Lib/Nat voters, 66% Labor and 76% Greens. Support for withdrawal was also similar across age groups but women were more likely than men to support withdrawal of troops (72% to 55%).

Comments »

Mining Tax

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the proposed mining tax (called the Minerals Resource Rent Tax) on large profits of mining companies?

12 Jul 2010 5 Sep 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 50% 46% 51% 74% 32% 85%
Total disapprove 28% 34% 33% 13% 55% 7%
Strongly approve 13% 18% 18% 32% 5% 51%
Approve 37% 28% 33% 42% 27% 34%
Disapprove 18% 18% 20% 11% 30% 7%
Strongly disapprove 10% 16% 13% 2% 25%
Don’t know 22% 19% 15% 12% 12% 9%

51% approve the Government’s proposed mining tax and 33% disapprove. This represents a strengthening in support since this question was asked in September (from net +12% to net +18%).

Labor voters (74%) and Greens voters (85%) strongly support the tax – but Liberal/National voters disapprove 55% to 32%.

Comments »

Carbon Tax

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s carbon pricing scheme which, from July 2012, will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 18 April 23 May 14 June 18 July 1 Aug 19 Sep 17 Oct Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 37% 39% 38% 66% 13% 86%
Total oppose 48% 49% 44% 49% 49% 51% 52% 53% 53% 26% 80% 11%
Strongly support 9% 13% 14% 13% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 28% 1% 48%
Support 26% 26% 27% 25% 24% 24% 23% 25% 24% 38% 12% 38%
Oppose 19% 15% 15% 19% 16% 19% 17% 17% 17% 11% 22% 5%
Strongly oppose 29% 34% 29% 30% 33% 32% 35% 36% 36% 15% 58% 6%
Don’t know 18% 12% 15% 13% 12% 10% 12% 9% 10% 9% 7% 2%

Views on the carbon pricing scheme have changed very little since June and there has been no significant change since the legislation was passed. 38% support the scheme (down 1% since October) and 53% oppose (no change).

The only demographic group to support the scheme were aged under 35’s – 45% support/40% oppose. Among those aged 55+, 37% support and 59% oppose.

Comments »

Pages:«1...6789101112...55»

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.