Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18%

52% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 30% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 4% and disapproval by 3% – “don’t know” has dropped from 26% to 18%. 89% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 25% approve and 64% disapprove.

There were substantial differences by gender – men 50% approve/36% disapprove and women  54% approve/25% disapprove.

Comments »

Important Issues

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

  First Second Third Total Total

10 May 10

Difference
Management of the economy 38% 18% 7% 63% 62% +1%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  16% 20% 19% 55% 50% +5%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 7% 8% 9% 24% 29% -5%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 4% 11% 9% 24% 19% +5%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 4% 6% 8% 18% 22% -4%
Protecting the environment 5% 5% 5% 15% 13% +2%
Political leadership 6% 3% 4% 13% 12% +1%
Housing affordability 4% 4% 5% 13% 17% -4%
Addressing climate change 4% 4% 4% 12% 12%
Controlling interest rates 3% 5% 4% 12% 16% -4%
Managing population growth 1% 4% 7% 12% 14% -2%
Treatment of asylum seekers 4% 3% 4% 11% *  
A fair industrial relations system 2% 4% 5% 11% 9% +2%
Security and the war on terrorism 1% 2% 5% 8% 7% +1%
Ensuring a quality water supply 1% 1% 4% 6% 7% -1%

*Not asked in May 2010 poll

The most important election issues were management of the economy, the quality of the health system, jobs and local industry and a quality education for all children.

Since this issue was last polled in May, health and education have increased in importance (both +5%) and Australian jobs and protection of local industry declined 5%. Comments »

Party best at Handling Issues

Jul 19, 2010

Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

  Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
A fair industrial relations system 45% 24% 5% 26%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 41% 25% 4% 29%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 42% 28% 3% 27%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  38% 27% 4% 31%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 36% 28% 4% 32%
Housing affordability 30% 24% 4% 41%
Political leadership 33% 30% 5% 33%
Ensuring a quality water supply 23% 23% 22% 32%
Managing population growth 24% 27% 9% 40%
Security and the war on terrorism 25% 30% 3% 42%
Management of the economy 32% 38% 3% 27%
Treatment of asylum seekers 23% 29% 11% 37%
Controlling interest rates 28% 35% 2% 35%
Addressing climate change 18% 16% 36% 29%
Protecting the environment 17% 13% 47% 23%

 Labor have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party as the best party to handle a fair industrial relations system (+21%), quality education for all (+16%), Australian jobs and protection of industries (+14%) and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (+11%).

 The Liberal Party’s main strengths were controlling interest rates (+7%), treatment of asylum seekers (+6%) and management of the economy  (+6%).

The Greens were thought to be the best party for protecting the environment (47%) and addressing climate change (36%). Comments »

Approval of Tony Abbott

Jul 5, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

Malcolm Turnbull Tony Abbott
30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10 28 Jun 10 5 Jul 10
Total approve 25% 34% 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 40% 37%
Total disapprove 55% 36% 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 39% 47%
Strongly approve 2% 7% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 9% 8%
Approve 23% 27% 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 31% 29%
Disapprove 33% 18% 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 20% 23%
Strongly disapprove 22% 18% 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 19% 24%
Don’t know 19% 31% 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 20% 16%

Tony Abbott’s net rating as Opposition Leader have dropped back into negative territory over the last week. 37% approve (down 3%) and 47% disapprove (up 8%).

81% of Liberal/National voters approve and 12% disapprove. Labor voters split 15% approve/75% disapprove.

Men split 41% approve/45% disapprove and women 34% approve/48% disapprove. Comments »

Comparison of Leader Attributes

Jul 5, 2010

Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Difference
Intelligent 87% 70% +17
Hard-working 89% 76% +13
A capable leader 72% 47% +25
Demanding 58% 53% +5
Arrogant 37% 59% -22
Out of touch with ordinary people 35% 57% -22
Understands the problems facing Australia 68% 50% +18
Visionary 48% 32% +16
Superficial 35% 45% -10
Good in a crisis 61% 40% +21
Narrow-minded 28% 56% -28
Down to earth 68% 47% +21
Too inflexible 26% 45% -19
Complacent 27% 34% +13
More honest than most politicians 45% 33% +12
Trustworthy 49% 33% +16

Julia Gillard is rated substantially higher than Tony Abbott on all positive attributes and lower on negative attributes.

The largest differences are in terms of narrow-minded (-28%), a capable leader (+25%) and arrogant (-22%).

Changing Leaders – Tony Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election or would the Liberal Party have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election 29% 14% 62%
The Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders 47% 65% 25%
Don’t know 24% 21% 13%

47% of respondents thought the Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leader – 29% thought Tony Abbott was the best person to be leader.

Liberal/National voters supported Tony Abbott as leader by 62% to 25%. 79% of Greens voters and 49% of other/independent voters thought the Liberal Party should change their leader. Men (34%) and those aged 65+ (34%) were the strongest supporters of Tony Abbott remaining as leader. Comments »

Best Leader – Rudd/Gillard

Jun 21, 2010

Q7. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 15 Feb 10
Kevin Rudd 36% 56% 26% 45%
Julia Gillard 33% 30% 36% 26%
Don’t know 31% 14% 38% 29%

Respondents were fairly evenly split over whether Kevin Rudd (36%) or Julia Gillard (33%) would make the better Prime Minister. This is a substantial change since this question was last asked in February – Julia Gillard up 7% and Kevin Rudd down 9%.

Labor voters preferred Kevin Rudd (56% to 30%) and Liberal voters preferred Julia Gillard (36% to 26%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard by 62% to 18%.

Men show greater support for Kevin Rudd (40%/33%) whereas women were evenly divided (32%/34%). Comments »

Best Leadership Team

Jun 7, 2010

 Q. Thinking about the Government Ministers and the Opposition Shadow Ministers in Federal Parliament, who has the best leadership team – Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party or Tony Abbott and the Coalition?

Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party 47%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 31%
Don’t know 23%

47% think that Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party have the best leadership team and 31% prefer Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party team.

95% of Labor voters think the Labor team is better and 75% of Liberal/National voters prefer the Liberal team. Greens voters prefer the Labor team over the Liberal team (by 55% to 13%), as do other party and independent voters (45% to 24%).

 People aged under 35 prefer the Labor team 47% to 18%. Comments »

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