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  • Sep, 2014

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,802 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


     

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,883 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Aug, 2013

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    Party attributes comparison – Labor vs Liberal

     

    Labor

    Liberal

    Difference

    Divided

    66%

    31%

    +35

    Looks after the interests of working people

    53%

    36%

    +17

    Have good policies

    46%

    38%

    +8

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    50%

    48%

    +2

    Will promise to do anything to win votes

    65%

    65%

    Moderate

    48%

    48%

    Has a good team of leaders

    36%

    36%

    Trustworthy

    30%

    30%

    Have a vision for the future

    49%

    51%

    -2

    Extreme

    34%

    39%

    -5

    Keeps its promises

    27%

    32%

    -5

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    51%

    58%

    -7

    Clear about what they stand for

    38%

    45%

    -7

    Too close to the big corporate and financial interests

    31%

    60%

    -29

    The Labor Party is viewed more favourably than the Liberal Party in terms of looking after the interest of working people, being too close to the big corporate and financial interests, having good policies and less out of touch with ordinary people.

    The Liberal Party is seen more favourably in terms of being divided and clear about what they stand for.

  • Feb, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,899 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    29/1/13

    2 weeks ago

    11/2/13

    Last week

    18/2/13

    This week

    25/2/13

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    44%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    34%

    35%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    55%

    54%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    45%

    46%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Feb, 2013

    , , , , ,

    Party that represents blue-collar workers

    Q. Which is the party that best represents the interests of blue-collar workers? 

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Labor

    34%

    67%

    18%

    32%

    Liberal

    21%

    5%

    39%

    2%

    Greens

    2%

    1%

    1%

    20%

    No difference

    15%

    7%

    19%

    16%

    None of them

    10%

    6%

    10%

    17%

    Don’t know

    18%

    13%

    14%

    13%

    34% think that the Labor Party best represents the interests of blue-collar workers and 21% think the Liberal Party does.

    43% said none, no difference of did not know.

    67% of Labor voters nominated the Labor Party and 39% of Liberal/National voters nominated the Liberal Party.

  • Feb, 2013

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    Senate voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote in the Senate? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward for the Senate?

    If don’t know –

    Q. Well which party are you currently leaning to for the Senate?

     

    Total Australia

    NSW

    Queensland

    Victoria

    SA

    WA

    Sample

    3,755

    1,282

    744

    974

    307

    352

    Labor

    33%

    32%

    32%

    37%

    31%

    31%

    Liberal/National

    47%

    48%

    44%

    43%

    39%

    55%

    Greens

    11%

    10%

    10%

    12%

    11%

    10%

    Katter Party

    2%

    1%

    7%

    1%

    1%

    *

    Others/independents

    8%

    9%

    7%

    7%

    18%

    4%

    * Based on Interviewing conducted across 4 weeks of Essential Report – 24 January-17 February.

  • Feb, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,897 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    14/1/13

    2 weeks ago

    29/1/13

    Last week

    5/02/13

    This week

    11/02/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    35%

    34%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    7%

    8%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jan, 2013

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    Trust to deal with GFC

    Q. If there was another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?

     

    15 Aug 11

    7 May 12

    Total 29 Jan 13

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    The Labor Party

    31%

    25%

    26%

    68%

    2%

    23%

    The Liberal Party

    40%

    42%

    40%

    4%

    84%

    6%

    No difference

    20%

    23%

    22%

    18%

    10%

    52%

    Don’t know

    9%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    4%

    19%

    If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 26% would trust the Labor Party more. This represents a slight shift to the Labor Party from net -17% to net -14% since May last year.

    The Liberal Party was rated higher than Labor with all demographic groups except for low income earners – 35% of those earning under $600pw would trust the Labor Party more and 29% the Liberal Party. Those most likely to trust the Liberal Party more were aged 55+ (52%), full-time workers (45%) and income over $1,600 pw (44%).

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