Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Nov 30, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1979 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 31%
National 4%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 42% -3%
Labor 47% 58% +3%
Greens 8%
Family First 3%
Other/Independent 7%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Federal Politics – 2PP Voting Intention – 4 Week Trend

Nov 30, 2009

NB.  The data in the above graph is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Approval of the Opposition Leader

Nov 30, 2009

Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Opposition Leader?

12 Jan 09 9 Feb 09 30 Mar 09 18 May 09 29 Jun 09 10 Aug 09 28 Sept 09 9 Nov 09 30 Nov 09
Strongly approve 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2%
Approve 37% 29% 25% 28% 20% 20% 24% 26% 23%
Disapprove 21% 26% 31% 28% 31% 30% 35% 30% 33%
Strongly disapprove 9% 17% 17% 21% 26% 28% 18% 20% 22%
Don’t know 29% 24% 24% 21% 19% 20% 21% 20% 19%
Total approve 41% 32% 28% 30% 24% 22% 27% 29% 25%
Total disapprove 30% 43% 48% 49% 57% 58% 53% 50% 55%

25% of people surveyed approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Opposition Leader and 55% disapprove.   Turnbull’s approval rating has decreased four percentage points since we last asked this question and his disapproval rating has seen five percent increase.

Approval followed party lines – Coalition voters were more likely to approve (41%), while Labor voters were more likely to disapprove (62%).   However, just under half (46%) of Coalition voters disapprove of the job Turnbull is doing as Opposition Leader.

Malcolm Turnbull’s net rating is -30%, compared to -21% earlier this month.

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Preferred Liberal Party Leader

Nov 30, 2009

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

6 July 09

Total

17 Aug 09

Total

30 November 2009
Total Labor Coalition Greens
Joe Hockey 17% 16% 22% 27% 28% 14%
Malcolm Turnbull 13% 12% 14% 15% 20% 14%
Tony Abbott 7% 7% 9% 8% 13% 3%
Julie Bishop 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 9%
Andrew Robb * 2% 2% 2% 2% *
Someone else 20% 24% 19% 19% 14% 27%
Don’t know 32% 33% 28% 22% 18% 33%

* Not asked. Brendan Nelson (3%) and Greg Hunt (1%) were included in the July poll.

22% of people think Joe Hockey would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 14% prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 9% prefer Tony Abbott. Just under half (47%) do not think that any of those listed would be the best leader of the Liberal Party – 19% prefer someone else as leader and 28% don’t know.

28% of Coalition voters think that Joe Hockey would make the best leader of the Liberal party, 20% of these same voters prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 13% prefer Tony Abbott.  Labor voters were more likely to think that Joe Hockey would make the best leader (27%).

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Management of Economic Issues

Nov 16, 2009

Q. Between Liberal and Labor, which party do you think would be best at managing each of the following issues?

When it comes to which party is best at handling economic issues, Labor leads the Liberal party on managing the improvement of wages for low income earners (+17%), executive salaries (+9%) and the age pension (+9%).

Labor trails the Liberals in terms of managing government debt (-24%), followed by managing interest rates (-9%) and superannuation (-9%).

Perception of which party is best at managing the economic issues listed followed party lines.

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Economic Conditions in Australia

Nov 9, 2009

Q. Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same?

Just over half (53%) think that over the next 12 months, economic conditions in Australia will get better, 23% think they will get worse and 21% think they will stay much the same.

The number of people that think economic conditions in Australia will get better over the next 12 months has decreased thirteen percentage points since we last asked this question in October this year, and the number that think economic conditions will get worse has increased eight percentage points.  However, the current results are very similar to the August survey results and considerably more positive than results recorded up to June.

Labor voters were more likely to think economic conditions will get better (65%), Coalition voters were more likely to think they will get worse (30%) and Green voters were more likely to think conditions will stay much the same (34%).

People earning $1600 per week or more were more likely to think economic conditions will get better (60%), while people earning $600 – $1000 per week were more likely to think they will get worse (32%).

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Party Best at Handling the Issue of Asylum Seekers

Nov 9, 2009

Q. Which party do you think would be best at handling the issue of asylum seekers?

%
Labor 23%
Liberal 27%
No difference 37%
Don’t know 13%

27% of people surveyed think Liberal is the best party at handling the issue of asylum seekers, 23% think Labor is and 37% think there is no difference in how the two major parties would handle the issue.

Attitudes followed party lines – Coalition voters were more likely to prefer Liberal (65%) and Labor voters more likely to prefer Labor (65%).

54% of Green, 38% of Labor voters and 24% of Coalition voters think there is no difference between how Liberal or Labor would handle the issue of asylum seekers.

People aged 55 years and over were more likely to think Liberal would be best (36% Liberal to 22% Labor), while people aged under 35 were more likely to think Labor would be best at handling the issue of asylum seekers (27% Labor to 20% Liberal).

Males were more likely to think Liberal would be the party best to handle the issue (31%), while females were more likely to think there is no difference (40%).

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Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Oct 12, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1845 sample size

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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