Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 13, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,868 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

16/7/12

2 weeks ago

30/7/12

Last week

6/8/12

This week

13/8/12

Liberal

46%

45%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

31%

33%

33%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

55%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

43%

45%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 6, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,832 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

9/7/12

2 weeks ago

23/7/12

Last week

30/7/12

This week

6/8/12

Liberal

46%

45%

45%

46%

National

4%

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

31%

33%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

11%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

55%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

45%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Party with Better Policies

Aug 6, 2012

Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?

 

Labor Party

Liberal Party

No difference

Don’t know

Pensioners

32%

21%

30%

17%

Unemployed people

36%

18%

29%

17%

People with disabilities

32%

16%

30%

22%

Carers

30%

18%

30%

22%

People on low incomes

40%

18%

26%

16%

All working people

29%

30%

26%

15%

The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (40% Labor/18% Liberal), unemployed people (36%/18%) and people with disabilities (32%/16%).

Of those aged 55+, 40% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 23% thought the Liberals had better policies.

30% think the Liberals have better policies for all working people and 29% think Labor has better policies. Full-time workers are more likely to think The Liberals have better policies (37% Liberal/24% Labor) which part-time workers are more likely to favour Labor (37% Labor/29% Liberal).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,837 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/7/12

2 weeks ago

16/7/12

Last week

23/7/12

This week

30/7/12

Liberal

45%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

31%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

Jul 23, 2012

Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?  

 

31 May 10

12 July 10

21 Nov 11

Total

23 Jul 12

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Work full time

Work part time

Very concerned

28%

29%

26%

30%

60%

7%

39%

33%

28%

Quite concerned

17%

19%

15%

16%

16%

14%

17%

16%

21%

A little concerned

20%

16%

20%

15%

11%

18%

20%

14%

17%

Not concerned

24%

25%

27%

26%

7%

48%

5%

28%

19%

Don’t know

11%

11%

11%

14%

6%

12%

20%

11%

15%

Respondents were also more concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 46% (up 5%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% (down 6%) were only a little or not concerned.

76% of Labor voters and 56% of Greens voters would be concerned. 66% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 21% concerned.  49% of full-time workers and part-time workers said they would be very/quite concerned.

51% of those aged 45-64 said they would be very/quite concerned.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 9, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,876 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

12/6/12

2 weeks ago

25/6/12

Last week

2/7/12

This week

9/7/12

Liberal

46%

46%

45%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

33%

32%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 18, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

21/5/12

2 weeks ago

4/6/12

Last week

12/6/12

This week

18/6/12

Liberal

46%

47%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

50%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

33%

32%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

7%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

State of the Economy

May 28, 2012

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total good

35%

56%

24%

54%

Total poor

29%

13%

42%

18%

Very good

6%

13%

2%

17%

Good

29%

43%

22%

37%

Neither good nor poor

33%

30%

33%

28%

Poor

20%

9%

29%

14%

Very poor

9%

4%

13%

4%

Don’t know

2%

2%

*

1%

35% described the economy as good or very good and 29% poor/very poor – 33% said it was neither.

Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were aged 18-34 (41%) and people with incomes over $1,600pw (44%).

Those most likely to think the economy was poor/very poor were aged 55+ (34%) and people with incomes of $600-$1,000pw (36%).

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