Approval of Tony Abbott

Dec 20, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan 22 Feb 29 Mar 3 May 31 May 5 Jul 2 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec
Total approve 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 37% 38% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39%
Total disapprove 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 47% 48% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39%
Strongly approve 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9%
Approve 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 29% 30% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30%
Disapprove 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 23% 27% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21%
Strongly disapprove 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 24% 21% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18%
Don’t know 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 16% 14% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22%

39% (down 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 39% (down 1%) disapprove – no net change from last month.

67% of Coalition voters approve and 16% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/39% disapprove, women 34% approve/38% disapprove.

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The Past Year – Political Parties

Dec 13, 2010

Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
The Greens 42% 21% 9% 33% 28% 12% 9% 8%
The Liberal Party 33% 27% 8% 25% 33% 20% 7% 7%
The Labor Party 21% 47% 3% 18% 24% 33% 14% 7%

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
The Greens 42% 21% 49% 9% 38% 35% 70% 4%
The Liberal Party 33% 27% 23% 37% 52% 16% 18% 45%
The Labor Party 21% 47% 36% 27% 16% 67% 18% 53%

Respondents were more likely to think it has been a good year for the Greens (42%) than the Liberal Party (33%) or the Labor Party (21%).

Among their own voters 70% think it has been a good year for the Greens, 52% the Liberal Party and 36% the Labor Party.

Men (40% good/27% bad) are more likely than women (26%/28%) to think it has been a good year for the Liberal Party Comments »

Climate change? Scepticism becomes mainstream

Dec 7, 2010

First Published on The Drum 07/12/2010

It was a year ago today that the hottest gig in global warming opened in Copenhagen, amidst expectations that the world’s leaders would rise above their geographical interests and make a stand for the future.

Twelve months on and the hopes of Copenhagen seem as retro as a Midnight Oil album, the world has opted to sleep even when our beds are burning.

While the lack of political action over the past year has been well documented, this week’s Essential Report picks up another dynamic that is both a response to and a driver for this inertia. For the first time, we have found less than 50 per cent of Australians think climate change is real.

Dec 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 45% 53% 32% 76%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 36% 27% 53% 14%
Don’t know 19% 20% 15% 10%

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Position on Climate Change

Dec 6, 2010

Q. Do you agree that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the Earth’s climate which happens from time to time?ear

Dec 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Nov 09
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 45% 53% 32% 76% 53%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the Earth’s climate 36% 27% 53% 14% 34%
Don’t know 19% 20% 15% 10% 13%

45% believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity (down 8% since last surveyed in Nov 2009), 36% think we are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the Earth’s climate (up 2%) and 19% don’t know (up 6%).

Those most likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity were Greens voters (76%), Labor voters (53%), women (49%) and aged 18-35 (50%).

Those most likely to think it is a normal fluctuation in the Earth’s climate were Liberal/National voters (53%), aged 55+ (47%) and men (40%).

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Importance of Climate Change Issue

Dec 6, 2010

Q. Compared to other issues that are often raised in politics – like the economy, healthcare, immigration, etc –  how important to you personally is the issue of tackling climate change?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total important 61% 73% 50% 87%
Total not important 35% 25% 47% 12%
Very important 24% 31% 15% 55%
Quite important 37% 42% 35% 32%
Not so important 26% 18% 35% 11%
Not at all important 9% 7% 12% 1%
Don’t know 4% 3% 3%

61% think tackling climate change is a very important (24%) or quite important (37%) issue – 35% think it is not important. 73% of Labor voters and 87% of Greens voters think it is important while Liberal/National voters are split (50% important/47% not important).

Those most likely to think it is important were women (65%) and aged 18-35 (68%).

Of those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity, 47% think it is a very important issue and 46% a quite important issue.

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Party Best at Dealing with Climate Change Issue

Dec 6, 2010

Q. Which leader and party would you trust most to understand and deal with the climate change issue?

Dec 10 Dec 09 *
Julia Gillard and Labor 23% 24%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 29% 27%
Bob Brown and Greens 19% 17%
Don’t know 29% 32%

* Note : Similar but not identical question asked in 2009.

29% trust Tony Abbott and the Coalition most to understand and deal with the climate change issue, 23% trust Julia Gillard and Labor and 19% trust Bob Brown and the Greens.

These figures are little changed since this question was previously asked in December 2009.

58% of Labor voters trust Labor most, 65% of Coalition voters trust the Liberals and 83% of Greens voters trust the Greens.

Of those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity, 31% trust the Greens, 27% Labor and 15% the Liberals.

Of those who believe that climate change is a very important issue, 38% trust the Greens, 31% Labor and 10% the Liberals.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Nov 22, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan 22 Feb 29 Mar 3 May 31 May 5 Jul 2 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov
Total approve 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 37% 38% 41% 43% 39% 40%
Total disapprove 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 47% 48% 44% 37% 45% 40%
Strongly approve 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6%
Approve 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 29% 30% 32% 31% 31% 34%
Disapprove 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 23% 27% 22% 21% 22% 22%
Strongly disapprove 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 24% 21% 22% 16% 23% 18%
Don’t know 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 16% 14% 15% 19% 17% 19%

40% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 40% (down 5%) disapprove – a shift from a net rating from -6 to level.

78% of Coalition voters approve and 12% disapprove.

By gender – men 46% approve/38% disapprove, women 35% approve/43% disapprove. Men have shifted from a net rating of  -7 to +8 while women have changed from -4 to -8.

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The Punch: 10 reasons why the Liberals are right about the interweb

Sep 28, 2010

First Published on The Punch 28/9/2010

It’s time to put an end to all this partisan negativity. At a time when people are looking to our leaders for vision, it is great to see a political party step up with a long-term vision for the nation.

I am referring of course to the Coalition’s decision to destroy the National Broadband Network and all who promote it and instead uphold Australian values by promoting a more leisurely pace of download.

While the public may be firmly behind the NBN as detailed in today’s Essential Report, I wonder how many have really thought through the implications of faster efficient broadband on their already busy and cluttered lives.

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