Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 21, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,947

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 40% 44% 45% 44%
National 3% 3% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 43% 47% 47% 46%
Labor 38.0 39% 36% 35% 36%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 8% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 49% 53% 54% 53%
Labor 50.1% 51% 47% 46% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,884

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 41% 42% 44% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 44% 45% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 40% 37% 36% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 50% 52% 53% 54%
Labor 50.1% 50% 48% 47% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,918

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 40% 42% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 43% 45% 47%
Labor 38.0 38% 39% 37% 36%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 49% 52% 53%
Labor 50.1% 49% 51% 48% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Support for Carbon Pricing

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 54% 18% 75%
Total oppose 48% 25% 72% 13%
Strongly support 9% 16% 2% 34%
Support 26% 38% 16% 41%
Oppose 19% 13% 24% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 12% 48% 3%
Don’t know 18% 21% 9% 11%

35% support the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme and 48% oppose. The scheme is strongly supported by Greens voters (75%) and has majority support from Labor voters (54%) but is strongly opposed by Coalition voters (72%).

Respondents aged under 35 were split 36% support/37% oppose while those aged 55+ were more strongly opposed (36% support/56% oppose).

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Leadership or Broken Promise

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Tony Abbott and the opposition claim this is a ‘backflip’ on a promise Prime Minister Gillard made before the 2010 election not to introduce a carbon tax in the next term of parliament. Which of the following statements is closest to your view:

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
The Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax 59% 33% 86% 26%
The Prime Minister is showing strong leadership on an issue of national importance 27% 51% 7% 67%
Don’t know 13% 16% 7% 7%

59% agree are more likely to think that the Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax and 27% believe she is showing strong leadership on an issue of national importance.

Opinions are strongly related to voting intention although a substantial minority (33%) of Labor voters agree that the Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait.

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Action on Climate Change

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Do you think the Government needs to take action on climate change as soon as possible, should they wait a few years before taking action or don’t they need to take any action at all?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Need to take action as soon as possible 47% 60% 33% 85%
Can wait a few years before taking action 24% 19% 33% 8%
Don’t need to take any action 19% 9% 29% 3%
Don’t know 11% 12% 5% 4%

Nearly half of respondents (47%) believe that the Government needs to take action on climate change as soon as possible, 24% think they can wait and 19% think they do not need to take any action.

52% of respondents aged under 35 think they need to take action as soon as possible compared to 44% of those aged 55+.

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Performance of Tony Abbott

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the performance of Tony Abbott as Opposition leader?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Tony Abbott is performing the role of Opposition leader well and is keeping the Government accountable 41% 11% 79% 7%
Tony Abbott is just opposing everything and is obstructing the work of the Government 43% 78% 12% 82%
Don’t know 16% 11% 9% 12%

41% think that Tony Abbott is performing the role of Opposition leader well and is keeping the Government accountable and 43% think he is just opposing everything and is obstructing the work of the Government.

Views are strongly correlated with voting intention – 79% of Coalition voters think he is performing the role of Opposition leader well, while 78% of Labor voters and 82% of Greens voters think he is just opposing everything.

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Approval of Barnaby Joyce, Opposition Shadow Finance Minister

Feb 15, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barnaby Joyce is doing as opposition shadow Finance Minister?

  %
Total approve 25%
Total disapprove 36%
Net rating -11%
Strongly approve 4%
Approve 21%
Disapprove 22%
Strongly disapprove 14%
Don’t know 39%

 One quarter (25%) of those surveyed approve of the job Barnaby Joyce is doing as opposition shadow Finance Minister, 36% disapprove and 39% don’t know.

 Results followed party lines – Coalition voters were more likely to approve of the job Joyce is doing (47%), while Labor voters were more likely to disapprove (53%).  

 56% of Green voters and 23% of Coalition voters disapprove of the job Joyce is doing as opposition shadow Finance Minister.

 Males were more likely to disapprove of the job Joyce is doing (43%), while females were more likely to indicate they don’t know (47%). Comments »

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