Federal Budget Expectations

May 9, 2011

Q. Overall, do you expect the Federal Budget to be good or bad for you personally?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total good 12% 21% 9% 7% 10% 14% 22% 8% 5%
Total bad 35% 18% 50% 33% 40% 30% 21% 40% 43%
Very good 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% *
Good 10% 19% 7% 7% 9% 12% 19% 7% 5%
Neither good nor bad 44% 54% 36% 53% 43% 44% 45% 42% 46%
Bad 27% 16% 37% 25% 30% 23% 17% 30% 32%
Very bad 8% 2% 13% 8% 10% 7% 4% 10% 11%
Don’t know 9% 7% 6% 7% 6% 12% 11% 10% 6%

35% expect the Federal Budget will be bad for them personally and 12% expect it will be good – 44% think it will be neither.

Labor voters are split – 21% good/18% bad while 50% of Liberal/National voters expect it will be bad and only 9% expect it will be good.

Younger voters are more optimistic than older voters – those aged under 35 are split 22% good/21% bad while 43% of over 55’s expect it will be bad and only 5% good. By income, the only major difference from the average is that 45% of people on incomes under $600 pw expect it will be bad for them.

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Prince William as Head of State

May 2, 2011

Q. Under the current arrangements, Prince William will be Australia’s Head of State when he becomes King. Would you approve or disapprove of Prince William as Australia’s Head of State?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total approve 60% 58% 68% 38% 56% 64% 56% 60% 65%
Total disapprove 23% 26% 19% 49% 27% 19% 21% 25% 23%
Strong approve 15% 12% 20% 6% 13% 18% 16% 13% 19%
Approve 45% 46% 48% 32% 43% 46% 40% 47% 46%
Disapprove 13% 13% 13% 30% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12%
Strongly disapprove 10% 13% 6% 19% 14% 5% 7% 11% 11%
Don’t know 17% 16% 13% 13% 18% 17% 24% 15% 12%

60% approve of Prince William becoming Australia’s head of state and 23% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve are Liberal/National voters (68%), women (64%) and aged 55+ (65%).

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Childcare Rebate

Apr 27, 2011

Q. The Federal Government currently pays parents 50 per cent of money they spend on childcare via its childcare rebate. Which of the following policies would you support most?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Maintaining the child care rebate at current levels 22% 23% 23% 25% 21% 22% 33% 18% 14%
Limiting the rebate to families earning less than $150,000 per annum 42% 46% 41% 44% 42% 42% 38% 42% 47%
Scrapping the rebate and paying the money directly to child care providers to contain costs and improve services 21% 25% 18% 18% 25% 18% 12% 24% 26%
Don’t know 15% 13% 11% 14% 12% 18% 17% 16% 12%

Only 22% favour maintaining the child care rebate at current levels – 42% think it should be means tested and 21% think it should be scrapped and the money paid directly to child care providers. There were no significant differences by voting intention.

Those aged 18-34 were more likely to support maintaining the rebate at current levels (33%) as were people earning over $1,600 pw (31%).  Limiting the rebate to families earning less than $150,000 was supported by 55% of people earning $1,000-$1,600 pw.

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Opinion of Gambling Reforms

Apr 18, 2011

Q. The Federal Government has proposed gambling reforms which include “pre-commitment” technology that will require pokie players to have a card registered to their name and pre-programmed to prevent them losing more than a set amount in a 24-hour period. Do you support or oppose this measure? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total support 65% 76% 62% 75% 66% 65% 69% 66% 60%
Total oppose 21% 16% 28% 16% 23% 19% 12% 21% 32%
Strongly support 32% 42% 26% 42% 31% 33% 32% 34% 28%
Support 33% 34% 36% 33% 35% 32% 37% 32% 32%
Oppose 12% 10% 15% 11% 11% 13% 8% 11% 18%
Strongly oppose 9% 6% 13% 5% 12% 6% 4% 10% 14%
Don’t know 13% 8% 10% 8% 11% 16% 18% 13% 9%

Two thirds (65%) of respondents support The Federal Government’s proposed gambling reforms which include “pre-commitment” ” technology that will require pokie players to have a card registered to their name and pre-programmed to prevent them losing more than a set amount in a 24-hour period and 21% oppose.

Support is consistently above 60% across all voter and demographic groups. The highest support is from Labor voters (76%), Greens voters (75%) and those aged under 35 (69%). By income, support ranges from 61% for those on $600-$1,000 pw to 70% for those earning $1,600+ pw.

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Opinion of the Greens

Apr 11, 2011

Do you agree or disagree that – the Greens are an extreme political party that does not share the values of average Australians? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total agree 52% 44% 74% 7% 60% 44% 41% 51% 65%
Total disagree 30% 41% 14% 87% 30% 30% 34% 31% 24%
Strongly agree 23% 12% 39% 29% 17% 16% 21% 34%
Agree 29% 32% 35% 7% 31% 27% 25% 31% 31%
Disagree 21% 32% 13% 29% 22% 20% 21% 23% 18%
Strongly disagree 9% 7% 1% 58% 8% 10% 13% 8% 6%
Don’t know 18% 17% 12% 7% 9% 27% 25% 18% 11%

Just over half the respondents (52%) agreed that the Greens are an extreme political party that does not share the values of average Australians and 30% disagree.

Those most likely to agree were Liberal/National voters (74%), men (60%) and those aged 65+ (65%). Labor voters were split with 44% agree and 41% disagree.

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Trust in Federal Leaders

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Who do you trust most to deliver good policies for Australia’s future?
(Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 40% 81% 5% 62%
Tony Abbott 31% 1% 72% 2%
Don’t know 29% 18% 23% 36%

40% have most trust in Julia Gillard to deliver good policies for Australia’s future and 31% trust Tony Abbott most.

Opinions closely follow party preference although Julia Gillard is overwhelmingly trusted more by Greens voters (62% to 2%).

Women are less trusting of Tony Abbott – 40% of men trust Julia Gillard and 36% trust Tony Abbott while 41% of women trust Julia Gillard and only 26% trust Tony Abbott.

Younger people are also less likely to trust Tony Abbott – those aged 55+ trust Tony Abbott (44%) more than Julia Gillard (36%) while those aged under 35 trust Julia Gillard more (42% Gillard/24% Abbott).

Download the Network Ten Essential Question of the Week. (1.1 MB pdf)

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Responsibility for Hospitals

Feb 14, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose the Federal Government taking over the responsibility for hospitals from the State Governments? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

14 Feb 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens 15 Feb 2010
Total support 48% 56% 48% 45% 58%
Total oppose 14% 12% 19% 12% 10%
Strongly support 21% 28% 18% 21% 26%
Support 27% 28% 30% 24% 32%
Neither support nor oppose 22% 22% 20% 21% 19%
Oppose 9% 9% 12% 6% 7%
Strongly oppose 5% 3% 7% 6% 3%
Don’t know 16% 10% 12% 21% 13%

48% support the Federal Government taking over the responsibility for hospitals from the State Governments and 14% oppose. This is a significant weakening in support since this question was asked in February last year.

However, a majority of Labor voters still support a Federal take-over, as do nearly half the Coalition and Greens voters.

Older voters were more likely to support a Federal take-over of hospitals – aged under 35’s split 37% support/14% oppose compared to aged 55+ at 52% support/20% oppose.

Download the Network Ten Essential Question of the Week. (661 KB pdf)

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Independents Support for Government

Feb 7, 2011

Q. Do you think the Independents in Federal Parliament that are supporting the Government should continue to support the Labor Government or should they switch their support to the Liberal/National coalition? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Aged 18-34 Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Continue to support Labor 43% 87% 6% 73% 43% 45% 39%
Switch support to the Liberals and Nationals 30% 1% 71% 6% 23% 29% 42%
Don’t know 27% 13% 23% 21% 34% 26% 19%

43% of respondents believed that the Independent MPs should continue to support the Labor Government and 30% thought they should switch their support to the coalition. 27% had no opinion either way.

Opinions closely followed voting intentions – and Greens voters overwhelmingly favoured continued support for the Government.

By age, younger voters tended to favour the independents continuing to support the Government while older voters were more likely to think they should switch.

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