Next election

Apr 2, 2013

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term up to the Federal election announced for September 14 or should a new election be held now?

 

5
Sept 11

5
Dec
11

30
Jan
12

5
Mar 12

30
Apr
12

29
Jan
13

Total
2
Apr
13

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should run to September (later in 2013*)

40%

47%

48%

46%

48%

51%

47%

82%

24%

67%

Should hold election now

48%

41%

41%

44%

42%

35%

43%

11%

69%

19%

Don’t know

12%

12%

10%

10%

10%

14%

11%

7%

6%

15%

47% think the Labor Government should run its full term until September and 43% think an election should be held now. 11% don’t know.

Opinions have shifted toward having an early election since this question was polled in January – up 6% to 43%.

 

* Note: previously asked question used slightly different wording – Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until later in 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

Next Election

Apr 30, 2012

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

 

5 Sept 11

5 Dec 11

30 Jan 12

5 Mar 12

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should run to 2013

40%

47%

48%

46%

48%

87%

21%

74%

Should hold election now

48%

41%

41%

44%

42%

7%

75%

20%

Don’t know

12%

12%

10%

10%

10%

5%

5%

6%

 

48% think the Labor Government should run its full term until the 2013 election and 42% think an election should be held now.

10% don’t know.

Opinions have shifted a little toward having an election now since this question was polled in March 2012.

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Next Election

Mar 5, 2012

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

 

5 Sept 11

5 Dec 11

30 Jan 12

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should run to 2013

40%

47%

48%

46%

90%

17%

80%

Should hold election now

48%

41%

41%

44%

7%

77%

12%

Don’t know

12%

12%

10%

10%

4%

5%

8%

46% think the Labor Government should run its full term until the 2013 election and 44% think an election should be held now.

Opinions have shifted a little toward having an election now since this question was polled in January.

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Leaders at the Next Election

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party at the election due next year?

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party at the election due next year?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard Yes 31% 54% 19% 43%
No 47% 22% 70% 26%
Don’t know 22% 24% 11% 31%
Tony Abbott Yes 47% 37% 67% 34%
No 25% 37% 12% 31%
Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 35%

31% think Julia Gillard will still be the leader of the Labor Party at the election due next year and 47% think she will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 54% of Labor voters think she will still be the leader.

47% think Tony Abbott will still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the election due next year and 25% think he will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 67% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be the leader.

Among non-major party voters, 36% think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party and 33% think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party.

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Next Election

Jan 30, 2012

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

5 Sept 11 5 Dec 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should run to 2013 40% 47% 48% 80% 19% 82%
Should hold election now 48% 41% 41% 12% 73% 11%
Don’t know 12% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7%

48% think that the Labor Government should be allowed to run its full term through to 2013 and 41% think a new election should be held. This is very similar to the results of this question when last asked in early December. Views closely follow voting voting intentions.

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