Best Leader of the Labor Party

Apr 23, 2012

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

 

30 May 2011

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

23%

16%

40%

4%

21%

Kevin Rudd

32%

31%

33%

32%

32%

Wayne Swan

2%

4%

6%

4%

5%

Greg Combet

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

Bill Shorten

3%

6%

8%

5%

3%

Someone else

19%

23%

6%

33%

18%

Don’t know

17%

17%

6%

19%

19%

33% think Kevin Rudd would make the best leader of the Labor Party and 16% prefer Julia Gillard. This represents  declines of 1% for Kevin Rudd and 7% for Julia Gillard since this question was asked nearly 12 months ago. Those selecting “someone else” has increased from 19% to 23%.

Julia Gillard is preferred by 40% of Labor voters compared to 33% for Kevin Rudd. Men prefer Kevin Rudd over Julia Gillard 33% to 16% and women by 28% to 17%.

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Best Leader of the Liberal Party

Apr 23, 2012

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

 

27 Sep 2010

28 Feb 2011

30 May 2011

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Tony Abbott

26%

24%

22%

23%

11%

39%

3%

Malcolm Turnbull

20%

18%

25%

30%

37%

26%

53%

Joe Hockey

15%

16%

17%

14%

12%

17%

12%

Julie Bishop

5%

4%

3%

5%

4%

5%

5%

Andrew Robb

na

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Someone else

na

14%

13%

12%

16%

6%

18%

Don’t know

33%

22%

19%

16%

18%

7%

10

30% (+5%) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 23% (+1%) prefer Tony Abbott and 14% (-3%) Joe Hockey.

Among Liberal/National voters, 39% (-1%) prefer Tony Abbott, 26% (+7%) Malcolm Turnbull and 17% (-5%) Joe Hockey.

Malcolm Turnbull is preferred by 33% of men and 28% of women, Tony Abbott by 26% of men and 19% of women.

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Performance during Leadership Challenge

Mar 5, 2012

Q. How would you rate the performance of the following during the Labor leadership challenge?

 

Total good

Total poor

Very good

Good

Average

Poor

Very poor

Don’t know

Julia Gillard

23%

49%

10%

13%

24%

17%

32%

4%

Kevin Rudd

33%

35%

12%

21%

27%

16%

19%

4%

Labor Party Ministers

10%

52%

2%

8%

30%

25%

27%

8%

Tony Abbott

25%

40%

9%

16%

27%

18%

22%

8%

The media

14%

43%

3%

11%

35%

20%

23%

6%

Apart from Kevin Rudd, the performance of all parties to the leadership challenge were rated poorly.

33% thought the performance of Kevin Rudd was good and 35% poor. For Julia Gillard the rating was 23% good and 49% poor. Labor Party Ministers were rated most negatively – 10% good and 52% poor.

However, Julia Gillard was rated a little better than Kevin Rudd by Labor voters – their rating of Julia Gillard was 50% good/15% poor compared to 49% good/22% poor for Kevin Rudd.

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Leaders at the Next Election

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party at the election due next year?

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party at the election due next year?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard Yes 31% 54% 19% 43%
No 47% 22% 70% 26%
Don’t know 22% 24% 11% 31%
Tony Abbott Yes 47% 37% 67% 34%
No 25% 37% 12% 31%
Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 35%

31% think Julia Gillard will still be the leader of the Labor Party at the election due next year and 47% think she will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 54% of Labor voters think she will still be the leader.

47% think Tony Abbott will still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the election due next year and 25% think he will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 67% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be the leader.

Among non-major party voters, 36% think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party and 33% think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party.

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