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  • Dec, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5
    Jul 10

    14 Mar 11

    14 June

    12 Sept

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12 Jun

    10 Sept

    15 Oct

    12 Nov

    10 Dec

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    39%

    40%

    37%

    40%

    43%

    45%

    43%

    92%

    6%

    80%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    35%

    37%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    32%

    34%

    4%

    71%

    1%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    26%

    24%

    20%

    23%

    23%

    5%

    23%

    19%

    43% (down 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (up 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Men prefer Julia Gillard 40%/39% and women prefer Julia Gillard 46%/29%. Compared to last month’s figures, Julia Gillard’s margin over Tony Abbott has dropped 3 points among men (from 40%/36%) and 4 points among women (from 49%/28%).

  • Sep, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 36% 81% 5% 69%
    Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 40% 5% 79% 8%
    Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 24% 13% 16% 23%

    36% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 40% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Tony Abbott of 6% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +4%).

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 43%/37% and women favour Tony Abbott 37%/36%.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 82% 7% 73%
    Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 1% 73% 7%
    Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 17% 20% 20%

    38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 4% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +2%).

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/35% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Preferred Leader of the Labor Party

    Q. If you were able to choose any politician to be leader of the Labor Party, which of the following would you prefer? (This question was commissioned by Network Ten).

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

    18-34

    Aged

    35-54

    Aged 55+
    Kevin Rudd 37% 43% 36% 35% 40% 33% 40% 39% 30%
    Julia Gillard 12% 31% 2% 24% 10% 13% 12% 12% 12%
    Malcolm Turnbull 11% 6% 17% 7% 12% 10% 10% 9% 15%
    Stephen Smith 7% 6% 9% 2% 7% 6% 3% 6% 12%
    Bob Brown 3% 2% 2% 11% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4%
    Greg Combet 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3%
    Bill Shorten 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%
    Don’t know 28% 9% 32% 18% 22% 33% 31% 28% 22%

    37% of respondents prefer Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party, 12% prefer Julia Gillard and 11% Malcolm Turnbull.

    Among Labor voters, 43% prefer Kevin Rudd and 31% Julia Gillard.

    Kevin Rudd is more preferred by younger respondents while those aged 55+ were more likely than the average to prefer Malcolm Turnbull (15%) and Stephen Smith (12%).

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  • Jul, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 85% 6% 68% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 5% 75% 9% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 10% 19% 24% 23%

    37% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – the first time that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 7% on last month’s figures (from +5% to -2%).

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Vote if Kevin Rudd Labor Leader

    Q. If Kevin Rudd was the leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party), to which party will you probably give your first preference vote if a Federal Election was held today? If not sure, which party would you lean toward?

    First preference Total Gave vote
    Liberal 36% 39%
    National 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 42%
    Labor 41% 45%
    Greens 7% 8%
    Other/Independent 5% 6%
    Don’t know 8%

    If Kevin Rudd was leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party) 45% said they would give their first preference vote to Labor (up 13%) and 42% to the Liberal or National Parties (down 6%). The Greens vote drops 3% to 8%.

    In two party preferred terms, this equates to 53% Labor/47% Liberal/National – a swing of 8% to Labor.

    Most of the increased Labor vote comes from Liberal/National voters  – 12% of Liberal/National voters said they would vote Labor if Kevin Rudd was leader.

    Groups with the largest shifts to Labor were women, aged under 35, NSW and lower incomes.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Vote if Malcolm Turnbull Liberal Leader

    Q. If Malcolm Turnbull was the leader of the Liberal Party (and Julia Gillard was leader of the Labor Party), to which party will you probably give your first preference vote if a Federal Election was held today? If not sure, which party would you lean toward?

    First preference Total Gave vote
    Liberal 44% 49%
    National 4% 4%
    Total Lib/Nat 48% 53%
    Labor 28% 31%
    Greens 7% 8%
    Other/Independent 7% 8%
    Don’t know 10%

    If Malcolm Turnbull was leader of the Liberal Party (and Julia Gillard was leader of the Labor Party) 31% said they would give their first preference vote to Labor (down 1%) and 53% to the Liberal or National Parties (up 5%). The Greens vote drops 3% to 8%.

    In two party preferred terms, this equates to 41% Labor/59% Liberal/National – a swing of 4% to Liberal/National.

    Most of the increased Liberal/National vote comes from Labor voters  – 13% of Labor voters said they would vote Liberal if Malcolm Turnbull was leader.

    The group with the largest shift to Liberal/National was people on higher incomes.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 84% 7% 65% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 5% 73% 11% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 11% 20% 24% 23%

    41% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 3% on last month’s figures (from +8% to +5%).

    Men are split 40%/40% and women favour Julia Gillard 41%/32%.

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