Firmness of voting intention

Aug 5, 2013

Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held this year?

 

Total

Gave voting intention

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Other party/ Independent

I will definitely not change my mind

44%

40%

59%

23%

18%

It is very unlikely I will change my mind

30%

35%

25%

36%

25%

It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops

21%

18%

14%

35%

49%

Don’t know

5%

7%

3%

3%

9%

44% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 30% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 21% say it is quite possible they will change.

Those most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind were Greens voters (35%), other party and independent voters (49%), aged 18-24 (32%) and women (25%).

Firmness of vote

Mar 25, 2013

Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held in September this year?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

I will definitely not change my mind

43%

40%

57%

18%

It is very unlikely I will change my mind

31%

34%

29%

31%

It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops

19%

16%

11%

41%

Don’t know

7%

9%

4%

10%

74% of Labor voters will definitely not or are very unlikely to change their vote compared to 86% of Liberal/National voters but only 49% of Greens voters.

25% of aged 18-34, 20% of aged 35-54 and 11% of aged 55+ say they may change their mind.

Firmness of vote

Mar 4, 2013

Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held on September 14, which of the following statements best describes you how you will vote?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

I have firmly made up my mind

46%

52%

58%

38%

I am leaning in one direction, but it could change

31%

37%

30%

45%

I haven’t made up my mind

16%

9%

7%

16%

Don’t know

6%

3%

4%

1%

46% of respondents said they had firmly made up their mind about how they will vote in the September election. 31% say they are leaning in one direction but could change and 22% haven’t made up their mind or don’t know.

58% of those indicating they would currently vote Liberal/National said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 52% of current Labor voters and only 38% of current Greens voters.

65% of those aged 55+ said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 35% of those aged under 35.

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