Better Prime Minister

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 85% 6% 68% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 5% 75% 9% 30%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 10% 19% 24% 23%

37% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – the first time that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 7% on last month’s figures (from +5% to -2%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Attributes to describe the Prime Minister

Jun 27, 2011

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

5 Jul 10 4 Oct 10 7 Feb 11 27 Jun 11 Difference
Intelligent 87% 81% 75% 73% -2%
Hard-working 89% 82% 76% 75% -1%
A capable leader 72% 59% 52% 42% -10%
Arrogant 37% 39% 44% 48% +4%
Out of touch with ordinary people 35% 44% 50% 60% +10%
Understands the problems facing Australia 68% 55% 52% 44% -8%
Visionary 48% 38% 30% 26% -4%
Superficial 51% 52% +1%
Good in a crisis 61% 46% 46% 41% -5%
Narrow-minded 28% 35% 43% 46% +3%
More honest than most politicians 45% 37% 37% 29% -8%
Trustworthy 49% 42% 40% 30% -10%

Julia Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (75%), intelligent (73%) and out of touch with ordinary people (60%).

Major changes since this question was asked in February were an increase of 10% for out of touch (to 60%) and decreases for a capable leader (down 10% to 42%) and trustworthy (down 10% to 30%).

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Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

Jun 27, 2011

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 10 4 Oct 10 7 Feb 11 27 Jun 11 Change
Intelligent 70% 71% 64% 61% -3%
Hard-working 76% 78% 72% 75% +3%
A capable leader 47% 52% 48% 45% -3%
Arrogant 59% 60% 58% 60% +2%
Out of touch with ordinary people 57% 53% 54% 57% +3%
Understands the problems facing Australia 50% 53% 50% 48% -2%
Visionary 32% 31% 27% 27%
Superficial 45% 49% +4%
Good in a crisis 40% 42% 41% 40% -1%
Narrow-minded 56% 53% 51% 54% +3%
More honest than most politicians 33% 32% 31% 32% +1%
Trustworthy 33% 35% 34% 32% -2%

Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (75%), intelligent (61%) and arrogant (60%).

There have only been minor changes since this question was asked in February.

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Comparison of Leader Attributes

Jun 27, 2011

Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Difference
Intelligent 73% 61% +12%
Hard-working 75% 75%
A capable leader 42% 45% -3%
Arrogant 48% 60% -12%
Out of touch with ordinary people 60% 57% +3%
Understands the problems facing Australia 44% 48% -4%
Visionary 26% 27% -1%
Superficial 52% 49% +3%
Good in a crisis 41% 40% +1%
Narrow-minded 46% 54% -8%
More honest than most politicians 29% 32% -3%
Trustworthy 30% 32% -2%

Julia Gillard rates substantially higher than Tony Abbott as intelligent (+12%) and lower on the negative attributes of arrogant (-12%) and narrow-minded (-8%). There were only minor differences on the other attributes.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,921

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 44% 44% 44%
National 3% 3% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 47% 46% 46%
Labor 38.0 36% 34% 34% 34%
Greens 11.8 11% 12% 12% 12%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 8% 8% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 54% 53% 54%
Labor 50.1% 48% 46% 47% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Jun 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 43% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 37% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 31% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 21% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 16% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15%

38% (down 4%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 48% (up 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -2 to -10 over the last 4 weeks.

70% of Coalition voters approve and 20% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/47% disapprove, women 32% approve/49% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Jun 14, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 84% 7% 65% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 5% 73% 11% 30%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 11% 20% 24% 23%

41% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 3% on last month’s figures (from +8% to +5%).

Men are split 40%/40% and women favour Julia Gillard 41%/32%.

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Performance of Tony Abbott

Jun 6, 2011

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the performance of Tony Abbott as Opposition leader?

7 Mar 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Tony Abbott is performing the role of Opposition leader well and is keeping the Government accountable 41% 42% 11% 78% 13%
Tony Abbott is just opposing everything and is obstructing the work of the Government 43% 44% 78% 13% 73%
Don’t know 16% 15% 11% 10% 14%

42% believe that Tony Abbott is performing the role of Opposition leader well and is keeping the Government accountable and 44% think he is just opposing everything and is obstructing the work of the Government. These figures have not changed significantly since March and views very much follow party preferences.

45% of men think he is performing the role of Opposition leader well compared to 38% of women and 51% of those aged 55+ think he is just opposing everything compared to 40% of those aged under 35.

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