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2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,896
First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 38% 42% 42% 41% 42% National 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 40% 46% 45% 44% 45% Labor 37% 39% 38% 38% 38% Greens 12% 8% 10% 11% 11% Other/Independent 10% 7% 8% 7% 6% 2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 48% 51% 51% 51% 51% Labor 52% 49% 49% 49% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,858
First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 39% 41% 42% 42% 41% National 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 41% 44% 45% 45% 44% Labor 39% 41% 39% 38% 38% Greens 9% 8% 10% 10% 11% Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 8% 7% 2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 49% 50% 51% 51% 51% Labor 51% 50% 49% 49% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, EMC, ER, essential report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,869
First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 39% 41% 42% 42% 42% National 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 41% 44% 46% 45% 45% Labor 40% 41% 39% 39% 38% Greens 10% 8% 8% 10% 10% Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 7% 8% 2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 48% 50% 51% 51% 51% Labor 52% 50% 49% 49% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, EMC, ER, essential report, federal politics, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,907
First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 41% 42% 41% 42% 42% National 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% Total Lib/Nat 43% 44% 44% 46% 45% Labor 38% 40% 41% 39% 39% Greens 10% 9% 8% 8% 10% Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 50% 50% 50% 51% 51% Labor 50% 50% 50% 49% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, Federal Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal Politics – Voting Intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1979 sample size
2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week Liberal 31% National 4% Total Lib/Nat 35% 42% -3% Labor 47% 58% +3% Greens 8% Family First 3% Other/Independent 7% NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
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federal politics, Labor, Labor Party, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred
Federal Politics – 2PP Voting Intention – 4 Week Trend
NB. The data in the above graph is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.