Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 24, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,817 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 27/5/14

2 weeks ago

11/6/14

Last week

17/6/14

This week

24/6/14

Liberal

 

37%

35%

36%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

37%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

40%

41%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

6%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 27/5/14

2 weeks ago

11/6/14

Last week

17/6/14

This week

24/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

46%

46%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

54%

54%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 17, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,828 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 20/5/14

2 weeks ago

3/6/14

Last week

11/6/14

This week

17/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

35%

35%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

38%

37%

39%

Labor

33.4%

40%

39%

40%

41%

Greens

8.6%

8%

10%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

6%

6%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 20/5/14

2 weeks ago

3/6/14

Last week

11/6/14

This week

17/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

46%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

54%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 23, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,854 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

25/6/12

2 weeks ago

9/7/12

Last week

16/7/12

This week

23/7/12

Liberal

46%

46%

46%

45%

National

3%

4%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

31%

31%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

57%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

43%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.