Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 28, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,917

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 42% 45% 44% 43%
National 3% 2% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 47% 46% 46%
Labor 38.0 37% 35% 36% 37%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 8% 8% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 54% 53% 52%
Labor 50.1% 48% 46% 47% 48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Angry Punter’s NSW Election Form Guide

Mar 25, 2011

Tomorrow voters across NSW will be lining up to take a punt on their next government.  Who are the favourites, who are the outsiders, and where are the value bets?  The Angry Punter has cast his eye over the political horse flesh and provided his tips exclusively for The Unspun.

Race 1 – Premier of NSW Cup

This is supposedly a two-horse race, but the burly stallion Bazza O’Fazza will start at shorter odds than Black Caviar.  Little value for punters in this one.

Bazza O’Fazza – Long considered to be little more than a plodder, Bazza O’Fazza has developed into a genuine stayer with a wily sense of timing.  Has been set for this race, and will be very hard to beat.

Nobody’s Puppet – The imported glamour filly from has always been highly regarded, but has been hampered by a terrible preparation this time around.  A number of her ALP stable mates have been very frisky in the mounting yards, and this has caused endless distractions for young trainer Sam Dastyari.  Nobody’s Puppet has earned respect for simply getting to the starting gates under the circumstances.  Anything better than last by 15 lengths will be considered a success.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 21, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,947

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 40% 44% 45% 44%
National 3% 3% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 43% 47% 47% 46%
Labor 38.0 39% 36% 35% 36%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 8% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 49% 53% 54% 53%
Labor 50.1% 51% 47% 46% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,884

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 41% 42% 44% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 44% 45% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 40% 37% 36% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 50% 52% 53% 54%
Labor 50.1% 50% 48% 47% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,918

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 40% 42% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 43% 45% 47%
Labor 38.0 38% 39% 37% 36%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 49% 52% 53%
Labor 50.1% 49% 51% 48% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Muslim Migrants

Feb 28, 2011

Q. In your view, should the Australian government exclude Muslims from our migrant intake?
(Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-44 Aged 55+
Yes 25% 21% 33% 8% 26% 25% 19% 26% 31%
No 55% 62% 49% 83% 55% 54% 56% 57% 49%
Don’t know/Refused 20% 17% 18% 8% 19% 21% 25% 17% 20%

25% of respondents believed that the Australian government should exclude Muslims from our migrant intake and 55% disagreed. Those most likely to think Muslims should be excluded from our migration intake were Liberal/National voters (33%) and people aged 55+ (31%).

Download the Network Ten Essential Question of the Week (1.1 MB pdf)

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Contribution of Multiculturalism

Feb 28, 2011

Q. Overall, has multiculturalism (that is, the acceptance of people from different countries, cultures and religions) made a positive or negative contribution to Australian society?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total positive 57% 65% 54% 75%
Total negative 29% 24% 36% 12%
Very positive 15% 20% 10% 34%
Positive 42% 45% 44% 41%
Negative 18% 16% 21% 9%
Very negative 11% 8% 15% 9%
Made no difference 6% 6% 5% 3%
Don’t know 8% 4% 4% 4%

57% believe that multiculturalism has made a positive contribution to Australian society and 29% believe the contribution has been negative. A majority of all party voter groups believe the contribution has been positive.

Older respondents tend to have a more negative view – those aged 55+ were split 48% positive/45% negative while those aged under 35 were 65% positive and 18% negative.

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NSW State Voting Intention – Demographic Analysis

Feb 18, 2011
First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW 18-34 35-54 55+
Sample 1248 625 623 799 449 404 491 353
Labor 27% 27% 27% 26% 30% 31% 29% 20%
Liberal/National 51% 49% 53% 54% 46% 46% 48% 59%
Greens 12% 12% 12% 13% 9% 15% 12% 8%
Independent/Other 11% 13% 9% 7% 15% 7% 11% 13%
2PP
Labor 41% 42% 40% 39% 44% 46% 43% 32%
Liberal/National 59% 58% 60% 61% 56% 54% 57% 68%
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